Skip to main content
icon for ¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?
Política·Brasil

¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?
Política·Brasil

¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?

Sí

26% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

26% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations into Flávio Bolsonaro, including an April 2026 Supreme Court-ordered probe into alleged defamation of President Lula and May 2026 scrutiny over ties to a banker facing fraud allegations, remain at the inquiry stage without formal charges. Brazilian federal police and judicial timelines for advancing such cases—often involving Senate immunity considerations, evidentiary reviews, and potential appeals—typically extend beyond the three-month window to September 30. Earlier unrelated proceedings against him were dismissed by courts, contributing to trader consensus that resolution to charging or arrest is improbable in the near term absent rapid escalation from primary sources like the Prosecutor General's Office.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,246
Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations into Flávio Bolsonaro, including an April 2026 Supreme Court-ordered probe into alleged defamation of President Lula and May 2026 scrutiny over ties to a banker facing fraud allegations, remain at the inquiry stage without formal charges. Brazilian federal police and judicial timelines for advancing such cases—often involving Senate immunity considerations, evidentiary reviews, and potential appeals—typically extend beyond the three-month window to September 30. Earlier unrelated proceedings against him were dismissed by courts, contributing to trader consensus that resolution to charging or arrest is improbable in the near term absent rapid escalation from primary sources like the Prosecutor General's Office.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,246
Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 26¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?" es "¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?" con 26%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 26% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Flávio Bolsonaro acusado o arrestado antes del 30 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.