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Política·Elecciones Globales

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco
Política·Elecciones Globales

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco

Lula 93%

Flavio Bolsonaro 2.3%

Renan Santos 2.0%

Clariana Barao 2.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lula 93%

Flavio Bolsonaro 2.3%

Renan Santos 2.0%

Clariana Barao 2.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Lula

Lula

$474 Vol.

93%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$184 Vol.

2%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$170 Vol.

2%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$170 Vol.

2%

icon for Zema

Zema

$185 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$237 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$238 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$238 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$238 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$238 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$237 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$238 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$239 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula’s incumbency and roots in Pernambuco anchor trader consensus for a first-place finish in the state’s October 4 first-round presidential vote. The Northeast has long been a Workers’ Party stronghold, and Lula’s formal reelection launch on August 2 plus the official campaign start on August 15 have reinforced that regional base without major shifts. A fragmented opposition field, including Flavio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, has kept any single challenger from consolidating right-leaning votes in the state. Few Pernambuco-specific polls have emerged since registrations closed, leaving early turnout patterns and local alliances as the main variables that could still alter the current pricing ahead of election night.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$3,084
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula’s incumbency and roots in Pernambuco anchor trader consensus for a first-place finish in the state’s October 4 first-round presidential vote. The Northeast has long been a Workers’ Party stronghold, and Lula’s formal reelection launch on August 2 plus the official campaign start on August 15 have reinforced that regional base without major shifts. A fragmented opposition field, including Flavio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, has kept any single challenger from consolidating right-leaning votes in the state. Few Pernambuco-specific polls have emerged since registrations closed, leaving early turnout patterns and local alliances as the main variables that could still alter the current pricing ahead of election night.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$3,084
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lula" con 93%, seguido de "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" es "Lula" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.