Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam (40.5%) over incumbent Mayor Ken Sim (33.5%) for the October 17 municipal election, amid a crowded field fragmenting the anti-incumbent vote and polls signaling voter fatigue with ABC Vancouver's governance. A February Research Co. survey found residents evenly split on reelecting Sim, with 59% desiring bolder leadership akin to progressive models, boosting Allam's profile as Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 campaign manager now positioning as a centrist alternative. Progressive parties—COPE, OneCity, and Greens—coordinated April 15 to cap council candidacies but rejected a unified mayoral pick, preserving Pete Fry's (15.2%) share while keeping the race tight. Separation could arise from endorsements, debates, or turnout dynamics in this historically low-participation contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Vancouver
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Vancouver
Kareem Allam 41%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.2%
William Azaroff 6.0%
$67,085 Vol.
$67,085 Vol.

Kareem Allam
41%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
6%

Colleen Hardwick
3%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
Kareem Allam 41%
Ken Sim 34%
Pete Fry 15.2%
William Azaroff 6.0%
$67,085 Vol.
$67,085 Vol.

Kareem Allam
41%

Ken Sim
34%

Pete Fry
15%

William Azaroff
6%

Colleen Hardwick
3%

John Coupar
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Amanda Burrows
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam (40.5%) over incumbent Mayor Ken Sim (33.5%) for the October 17 municipal election, amid a crowded field fragmenting the anti-incumbent vote and polls signaling voter fatigue with ABC Vancouver's governance. A February Research Co. survey found residents evenly split on reelecting Sim, with 59% desiring bolder leadership akin to progressive models, boosting Allam's profile as Sim's former chief of staff and 2022 campaign manager now positioning as a centrist alternative. Progressive parties—COPE, OneCity, and Greens—coordinated April 15 to cap council candidacies but rejected a unified mayoral pick, preserving Pete Fry's (15.2%) share while keeping the race tight. Separation could arise from endorsements, debates, or turnout dynamics in this historically low-participation contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes