CDU leads market pricing for second place in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting recent polls that show a fragmented contest with Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne all polling between roughly 16 and 22 percent. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner after criticism of his response to a major power outage has not shifted the party’s standing, as replacement Stefan Evers keeps CDU competitive for top spots. Linke and AfD sit close behind in both surveys and implied probabilities, while Grüne, SPD, and smaller parties trail further back. With no party commanding a clear lead and coalition math likely to require multiple partners, trader consensus highlights the potential for late swings in turnout or preference flows among the main contenders to determine the final order.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCDU 37%
AfD 26%
Linke 25%
Grüne 8%
$22,634 Vol.
$22,634 Vol.
20 sep 2026
CDU
37%
AfD
26%
Linke
25%
Grüne
8%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 26%
Linke 25%
Grüne 8%
$22,634 Vol.
$22,634 Vol.
20 sep 2026
CDU
$3,211 Vol.
37%
AfD
$4,217 Vol.
26%
Linke
$5,880 Vol.
25%
Grüne
$4,186 Vol.
8%
SPD
$3,060 Vol.
3%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$755 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)CDU leads market pricing for second place in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting recent polls that show a fragmented contest with Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne all polling between roughly 16 and 22 percent. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner after criticism of his response to a major power outage has not shifted the party’s standing, as replacement Stefan Evers keeps CDU competitive for top spots. Linke and AfD sit close behind in both surveys and implied probabilities, while Grüne, SPD, and smaller parties trail further back. With no party commanding a clear lead and coalition math likely to require multiple partners, trader consensus highlights the potential for late swings in turnout or preference flows among the main contenders to determine the final order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volumen
$22,634Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)CDU leads market pricing for second place in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting recent polls that show a fragmented contest with Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne all polling between roughly 16 and 22 percent. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner after criticism of his response to a major power outage has not shifted the party’s standing, as replacement Stefan Evers keeps CDU competitive for top spots. Linke and AfD sit close behind in both surveys and implied probabilities, while Grüne, SPD, and smaller parties trail further back. With no party commanding a clear lead and coalition math likely to require multiple partners, trader consensus highlights the potential for late swings in turnout or preference flows among the main contenders to determine the final order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$22,634Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...CDU leads market pricing for second place in the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting recent polls that show a fragmented contest with Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne all polling between roughly 16 and 22 percent. The July resignation of CDU lead candidate Kai Wegner after criticism of his response to a major power outage has not shifted the party’s standing, as replacement Stefan Evers keeps CDU competitive for top spots. Linke and AfD sit close behind in both surveys and implied probabilities, while Grüne, SPD, and smaller parties trail further back. With no party commanding a clear lead and coalition math likely to require multiple partners, trader consensus highlights the potential for late swings in turnout or preference flows among the main contenders to determine the final order.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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