Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 3–5 percent outcome. Multiple August surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady in this narrow band after earlier 2025–early 2026 readings occasionally reached 6 percent. The five-percent parliamentary threshold remains the decisive factor, with BSW co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig focusing on anti-incumbent messaging aimed at the CDU while signaling openness to abstention tactics in minister-president votes. Sahra Wagenknecht's scheduled late-August campaign appearances in the state and ongoing competition with Die Linke for overlapping voter groups have not produced measurable upward movement in the most recent fieldwork. These consistent survey results underpin trader consensus around the 3–5 percent range, with limited probability assigned to outcomes above 7 percent or below 3 percent absent major late shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt: ¿Porcentaje de votos de BSW?
Elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt: ¿Porcentaje de votos de BSW?
3-5% 59%
5-7% 26%
<3% 17%
7%+ 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
<3%
17%
3-5%
59%
5-7%
26%
7%+
2%
3-5% 59%
5-7% 26%
<3% 17%
7%+ 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
<3%
$67 Vol.
17%
3-5%
$20 Vol.
59%
5-7%
$0 Vol.
26%
7%+
$0 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 3–5 percent outcome. Multiple August surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady in this narrow band after earlier 2025–early 2026 readings occasionally reached 6 percent. The five-percent parliamentary threshold remains the decisive factor, with BSW co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig focusing on anti-incumbent messaging aimed at the CDU while signaling openness to abstention tactics in minister-president votes. Sahra Wagenknecht's scheduled late-August campaign appearances in the state and ongoing competition with Die Linke for overlapping voter groups have not produced measurable upward movement in the most recent fieldwork. These consistent survey results underpin trader consensus around the 3–5 percent range, with limited probability assigned to outcomes above 7 percent or below 3 percent absent major late shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$87Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 3–5 percent outcome. Multiple August surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady in this narrow band after earlier 2025–early 2026 readings occasionally reached 6 percent. The five-percent parliamentary threshold remains the decisive factor, with BSW co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig focusing on anti-incumbent messaging aimed at the CDU while signaling openness to abstention tactics in minister-president votes. Sahra Wagenknecht's scheduled late-August campaign appearances in the state and ongoing competition with Die Linke for overlapping voter groups have not produced measurable upward movement in the most recent fieldwork. These consistent survey results underpin trader consensus around the 3–5 percent range, with limited probability assigned to outcomes above 7 percent or below 3 percent absent major late shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volumen
$87Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election place the BSW at 4–5 percent, aligning with the market's leading 3–5 percent outcome. Multiple August surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap show the party holding steady in this narrow band after earlier 2025–early 2026 readings occasionally reached 6 percent. The five-percent parliamentary threshold remains the decisive factor, with BSW co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig focusing on anti-incumbent messaging aimed at the CDU while signaling openness to abstention tactics in minister-president votes. Sahra Wagenknecht's scheduled late-August campaign appearances in the state and ongoing competition with Die Linke for overlapping voter groups have not produced measurable upward movement in the most recent fieldwork. These consistent survey results underpin trader consensus around the 3–5 percent range, with limited probability assigned to outcomes above 7 percent or below 3 percent absent major late shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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