Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-36 percent while SPD holds second at 28-29 percent, with Linke at 11-12 percent, CDU at 9-10 percent, and smaller parties below or near the five-percent threshold. This stable gap has driven trader consensus toward SPD for second place, reinforced by SPD gains of two points in the latest Infratest dimap survey and consistent positioning across INSA and other releases. AfD’s frontrunner status remains firm, while CDU and Grüne show no momentum to challenge SPD, and newer entrants like BSW remain marginal. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for late shifts that could reorder the second slot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSPD 84%
Linke 5.1%
CDU 5.0%
Grüne 2.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
SPD
84%
Linke
5%
CDU
5%
Grüne
2%
AfD
2%
BSW
1%
FW
1%
FDP
1%
SPD 84%
Linke 5.1%
CDU 5.0%
Grüne 2.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
SPD
$735 Vol.
84%
Linke
$185 Vol.
5%
CDU
$203 Vol.
5%
Grüne
$207 Vol.
2%
AfD
$207 Vol.
2%
BSW
$170 Vol.
1%
FW
$147 Vol.
1%
FDP
$352 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-36 percent while SPD holds second at 28-29 percent, with Linke at 11-12 percent, CDU at 9-10 percent, and smaller parties below or near the five-percent threshold. This stable gap has driven trader consensus toward SPD for second place, reinforced by SPD gains of two points in the latest Infratest dimap survey and consistent positioning across INSA and other releases. AfD’s frontrunner status remains firm, while CDU and Grüne show no momentum to challenge SPD, and newer entrants like BSW remain marginal. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for late shifts that could reorder the second slot.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$2,205Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-36 percent while SPD holds second at 28-29 percent, with Linke at 11-12 percent, CDU at 9-10 percent, and smaller parties below or near the five-percent threshold. This stable gap has driven trader consensus toward SPD for second place, reinforced by SPD gains of two points in the latest Infratest dimap survey and consistent positioning across INSA and other releases. AfD’s frontrunner status remains firm, while CDU and Grüne show no momentum to challenge SPD, and newer entrants like BSW remain marginal. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for late shifts that could reorder the second slot.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$2,205Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-36 percent while SPD holds second at 28-29 percent, with Linke at 11-12 percent, CDU at 9-10 percent, and smaller parties below or near the five-percent threshold. This stable gap has driven trader consensus toward SPD for second place, reinforced by SPD gains of two points in the latest Infratest dimap survey and consistent positioning across INSA and other releases. AfD’s frontrunner status remains firm, while CDU and Grüne show no momentum to challenge SPD, and newer entrants like BSW remain marginal. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for late shifts that could reorder the second slot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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¿Ganaré AfD la mayor cantidad de escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental de 2026?
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Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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