Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.2% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. The SPD candidate's narrow edge and stronger base among social democratic voters have shifted trader consensus toward a Prange victory in the September 27 contest. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan option, trails at 16.5% despite the cross-party coalition that secured second place. Remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt of the Left at single-digit shares and several independents below 8%, register minimal probabilities consistent with their elimination from contention. Elevated turnout of 63.5% and the absence of an outright majority in the initial round reinforced the two-candidate dynamic now priced into the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUlf Prange 82%
Jascha Rohr 14%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,712 Vol.
$21,712 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Ulf Prange
78%
Jascha Rohr
17%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 82%
Jascha Rohr 14%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$21,712 Vol.
$21,712 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Ulf Prange
$8,761 Vol.
78%
Jascha Rohr
$6,434 Vol.
17%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Vol.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.2% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. The SPD candidate's narrow edge and stronger base among social democratic voters have shifted trader consensus toward a Prange victory in the September 27 contest. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan option, trails at 16.5% despite the cross-party coalition that secured second place. Remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt of the Left at single-digit shares and several independents below 8%, register minimal probabilities consistent with their elimination from contention. Elevated turnout of 63.5% and the absence of an outright majority in the initial round reinforced the two-candidate dynamic now priced into the market.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volumen
$21,712Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.2% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. The SPD candidate's narrow edge and stronger base among social democratic voters have shifted trader consensus toward a Prange victory in the September 27 contest. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan option, trails at 16.5% despite the cross-party coalition that secured second place. Remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt of the Left at single-digit shares and several independents below 8%, register minimal probabilities consistent with their elimination from contention. Elevated turnout of 63.5% and the absence of an outright majority in the initial round reinforced the two-candidate dynamic now priced into the market.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volumen
$21,712Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral runoff market at 78.5% after topping the September 13 first round with 33.2% of the vote, ahead of Jascha Rohr at 30.5%. The SPD candidate's narrow edge and stronger base among social democratic voters have shifted trader consensus toward a Prange victory in the September 27 contest. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan option, trails at 16.5% despite the cross-party coalition that secured second place. Remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt of the Left at single-digit shares and several independents below 8%, register minimal probabilities consistent with their elimination from contention. Elevated turnout of 63.5% and the absence of an outright majority in the initial round reinforced the two-candidate dynamic now priced into the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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