Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKatharina Pötter 91.5%
Volker Bajus 4.5%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$83,959 Vol.
$83,959 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Katharina Pötter
92%
Volker Bajus
5%
Robert Alferink
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
1%
Thomas Groß
<1%
Thorsten Wassermann
<1%
Katharina Pötter 91.5%
Volker Bajus 4.5%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$83,959 Vol.
$83,959 Vol.
13 sep 2026
Katharina Pötter
$63,557 Vol.
92%
Volker Bajus
$1,676 Vol.
5%
Robert Alferink
$15,808 Vol.
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
$1,730 Vol.
1%
Thomas Groß
$385 Vol.
<1%
Thorsten Wassermann
$803 Vol.
<1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volumen
$83,959Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volumen
$83,959Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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