Recent polling trends position the SPD for a likely seat total in the low-to-mid 20s ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election. Surveys from July 2026 show the party at 28–29 percent, down from its 2021 result, while the AfD leads at 35–36 percent and The Left holds around 11–12 percent. This distribution, combined with the five-percent threshold excluding smaller parties such as the Greens, CDU, and BSW from many projections, points to roughly 22–25 seats for the SPD under current voter intentions. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, launched its campaign in early August amid broader federal headwinds for the party following losses elsewhere in 2026. Trader pricing reflects these stable survey readings and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado22-25 48%
26-29 24%
30-33 12%
18-21 5.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<18
1%
18-21
6%
22-25
48%
26-29
24%
30-33
12%
34+
<1%
22-25 48%
26-29 24%
30-33 12%
18-21 5.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<18
$698 Vol.
1%
18-21
$318 Vol.
6%
22-25
$1,554 Vol.
48%
26-29
$779 Vol.
24%
30-33
$188 Vol.
12%
34+
$383 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling trends position the SPD for a likely seat total in the low-to-mid 20s ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election. Surveys from July 2026 show the party at 28–29 percent, down from its 2021 result, while the AfD leads at 35–36 percent and The Left holds around 11–12 percent. This distribution, combined with the five-percent threshold excluding smaller parties such as the Greens, CDU, and BSW from many projections, points to roughly 22–25 seats for the SPD under current voter intentions. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, launched its campaign in early August amid broader federal headwinds for the party following losses elsewhere in 2026. Trader pricing reflects these stable survey readings and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volumen
$3,921Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling trends position the SPD for a likely seat total in the low-to-mid 20s ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election. Surveys from July 2026 show the party at 28–29 percent, down from its 2021 result, while the AfD leads at 35–36 percent and The Left holds around 11–12 percent. This distribution, combined with the five-percent threshold excluding smaller parties such as the Greens, CDU, and BSW from many projections, points to roughly 22–25 seats for the SPD under current voter intentions. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, launched its campaign in early August amid broader federal headwinds for the party following losses elsewhere in 2026. Trader pricing reflects these stable survey readings and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$3,921Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position the SPD for a likely seat total in the low-to-mid 20s ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election. Surveys from July 2026 show the party at 28–29 percent, down from its 2021 result, while the AfD leads at 35–36 percent and The Left holds around 11–12 percent. This distribution, combined with the five-percent threshold excluding smaller parties such as the Greens, CDU, and BSW from many projections, points to roughly 22–25 seats for the SPD under current voter intentions. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, launched its campaign in early August amid broader federal headwinds for the party following losses elsewhere in 2026. Trader pricing reflects these stable survey readings and limited movement in the final weeks before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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