The fragmented field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, municipal election has kept implied probabilities clustered among the leaders, with William Peña Farfán at 32% and several others between 10% and 29%. Active campaigning, including recent caravans and territorial outreach by Peña Farfán and rivals such as Iván Hurtado Villafuerte and Eulogio Tapia Deza, has yet to produce clear separation in trader assessments. The absence of dominant polling data or major late endorsements sustains the tight contest, while structural factors like Peru's preferential voting system and potential last-minute alliances could still shift outcomes before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIván Hurtado Villafuerte 52%
William Peña Farfán 26%
Eulogio Tapia Deza 24%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
52%
William Peña Farfán
26%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
24%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
12%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
12%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
10%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
9%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
9%
Sergio Sullca Condori
7%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
7%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
6%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
4%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
14%
Federico Huamán Tapara
12%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 52%
William Peña Farfán 26%
Eulogio Tapia Deza 24%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
$83 Vol.
52%
William Peña Farfán
$150 Vol.
26%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
$83 Vol.
24%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
$106 Vol.
12%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
$104 Vol.
12%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
$143 Vol.
10%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
$104 Vol.
9%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
$83 Vol.
9%
Sergio Sullca Condori
$96 Vol.
7%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
$111 Vol.
7%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
$124 Vol.
6%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
$106 Vol.
4%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
$128 Vol.
14%
Federico Huamán Tapara
$160 Vol.
12%
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The fragmented field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, municipal election has kept implied probabilities clustered among the leaders, with William Peña Farfán at 32% and several others between 10% and 29%. Active campaigning, including recent caravans and territorial outreach by Peña Farfán and rivals such as Iván Hurtado Villafuerte and Eulogio Tapia Deza, has yet to produce clear separation in trader assessments. The absence of dominant polling data or major late endorsements sustains the tight contest, while structural factors like Peru's preferential voting system and potential last-minute alliances could still shift outcomes before election day.
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Volumen
$1,577Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The fragmented field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, municipal election has kept implied probabilities clustered among the leaders, with William Peña Farfán at 32% and several others between 10% and 29%. Active campaigning, including recent caravans and territorial outreach by Peña Farfán and rivals such as Iván Hurtado Villafuerte and Eulogio Tapia Deza, has yet to produce clear separation in trader assessments. The absence of dominant polling data or major late endorsements sustains the tight contest, while structural factors like Peru's preferential voting system and potential last-minute alliances could still shift outcomes before election day.
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$1,577Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of more than two dozen registered candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, municipal election has kept implied probabilities clustered among the leaders, with William Peña Farfán at 32% and several others between 10% and 29%. Active campaigning, including recent caravans and territorial outreach by Peña Farfán and rivals such as Iván Hurtado Villafuerte and Eulogio Tapia Deza, has yet to produce clear separation in trader assessments. The absence of dominant polling data or major late endorsements sustains the tight contest, while structural factors like Peru's preferential voting system and potential last-minute alliances could still shift outcomes before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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