Skip to main content
icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$1,066,580 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,066,580 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$74,326 Vol.

13%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$3,386 Vol.

11%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$27,365 Vol.

11%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$55,329 Vol.

11%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$12,731 Vol.

9%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,877 Vol.

9%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$14,511 Vol.

9%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$47,158 Vol.

8%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$17,298 Vol.

8%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$19,298 Vol.

8%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$9,681 Vol.

8%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,964 Vol.

8%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,464 Vol.

8%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$7,284 Vol.

8%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,064 Vol.

7%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$15,453 Vol.

7%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$3,164 Vol.

7%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$3,234 Vol.

7%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,640 Vol.

7%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,198 Vol.

7%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$60,520 Vol.

6%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$10,024 Vol.

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,631 Vol.

6%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,727 Vol.

6%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$31,240 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$8,535 Vol.

6%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$16,913 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$10,328 Vol.

6%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,270 Vol.

6%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$35,002 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,302 Vol.

5%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,665 Vol.

4%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$4,919 Vol.

4%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,571 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,834 Vol.

4%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$8,852 Vol.

4%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,209 Vol.

4%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$25,655 Vol.

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,077 Vol.

4%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$3,727 Vol.

4%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$20,702 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$3,510 Vol.

3%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,852 Vol.

3%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,973 Vol.

3%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$54,390 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,426 Vol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,881 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$8,029 Vol.

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,691 Vol.

3%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$14,005 Vol.

3%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$6,582 Vol.

3%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,844 Vol.

3%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$9,894 Vol.

2%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,352 Vol.

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 Vol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,402 Vol.

2%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,837 Vol.

2%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$10,193 Vol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$10,939 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,673 Vol.

2%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$6,428 Vol.

2%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,834 Vol.

2%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,769 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$3,909 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$26,065 Vol.

1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$7,170 Vol.

1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$6,153 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$14,405 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,994 Vol.

1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$16,666 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders are positioning early amid ongoing speculation, with trader focus on formal announcement timelines before the end of 2026. As of mid-August 2026, only minor figures such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White have declared candidacies, while exploratory committees have formed for others including Jo Jorgensen. High-profile names like JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg—who recently signaled inclination toward a run—have engaged in public comments or polling mentions but have not made official announcements. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent period typically accelerate declarations, as candidates assess party dynamics, donor networks, and primary paths ahead of the March 2028 Super Tuesday contests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,066,580
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders are positioning early amid ongoing speculation, with trader focus on formal announcement timelines before the end of 2026. As of mid-August 2026, only minor figures such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White have declared candidacies, while exploratory committees have formed for others including Jo Jorgensen. High-profile names like JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg—who recently signaled inclination toward a run—have engaged in public comments or polling mentions but have not made official announcements. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent period typically accelerate declarations, as candidates assess party dynamics, donor networks, and primary paths ahead of the March 2028 Super Tuesday contests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,066,580
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for ¿Anunciará Pete Buttigieg una candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

¿Anunciará Pete Buttigieg una candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

85%
Sí
icon for ¿Anunciará Elon Musk su candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

¿Anunciará Elon Musk su candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

3%
Sí
icon for ¿Anunciará Gavin Newsom su candidatura presidencial antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

¿Anunciará Gavin Newsom su candidatura presidencial antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

11%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 71+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gavin Newsom" con 13%, seguido de "Gretchen Whitmer" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 13¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 19, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 71+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Gavin Newsom" con 13%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gretchen Whitmer" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.