Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November Texas U.S. Senate race, often by 4-7 points among likely voters. This closeness reflects Talarico’s stronger performance with independents and moderates alongside Paxton’s base consolidation after his May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported broader outreach, while the contest remains sensitive to turnout among non-college-educated voters and messaging on state issues. Upcoming debates and additional surveys could shift margins before Election Day in this historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus prices capture the uncertainty, with neither candidate securing a decisive edge in polling aggregates or forecaster ratings that range from toss-up to lean Republican.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$754,540 Vol.
$754,540 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
48%
$754,540 Vol.
$754,540 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$360,952 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$393,588 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November Texas U.S. Senate race, often by 4-7 points among likely voters. This closeness reflects Talarico’s stronger performance with independents and moderates alongside Paxton’s base consolidation after his May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported broader outreach, while the contest remains sensitive to turnout among non-college-educated voters and messaging on state issues. Upcoming debates and additional surveys could shift margins before Election Day in this historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus prices capture the uncertainty, with neither candidate securing a decisive edge in polling aggregates or forecaster ratings that range from toss-up to lean Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$754,540Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November Texas U.S. Senate race, often by 4-7 points among likely voters. This closeness reflects Talarico’s stronger performance with independents and moderates alongside Paxton’s base consolidation after his May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported broader outreach, while the contest remains sensitive to turnout among non-college-educated voters and messaging on state issues. Upcoming debates and additional surveys could shift margins before Election Day in this historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus prices capture the uncertainty, with neither candidate securing a decisive edge in polling aggregates or forecaster ratings that range from toss-up to lean Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$754,540Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Democratic state representative James Talarico holding narrow leads over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November Texas U.S. Senate race, often by 4-7 points among likely voters. This closeness reflects Talarico’s stronger performance with independents and moderates alongside Paxton’s base consolidation after his May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported broader outreach, while the contest remains sensitive to turnout among non-college-educated voters and messaging on state issues. Upcoming debates and additional surveys could shift margins before Election Day in this historically Republican-leaning state. Trader consensus prices capture the uncertainty, with neither candidate securing a decisive edge in polling aggregates or forecaster ratings that range from toss-up to lean Republican.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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