With the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton set for May 26—early voting underway from May 18—trader consensus prices a narrow Republican edge at 54.5% over Democrat James Talarico's 46%, reflecting recent polls showing tight general election hypotheticals. A May 5 University of Houston survey gave Paxton a slim 48%-45% lead over Cornyn among likely GOP primary voters, while April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and UT's Texas Politics Project had Talarico ahead of both Republicans by 3-8 points within margins of error, underscoring Paxton's potential general election drag amid MAGA attacks on Cornyn as insufficiently conservative. GOP base turnout and the runoff winner's ability to consolidate could tip the balance in this battleground matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$201,519 Vol.
$201,519 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
55%
Demócrata
46%
$201,519 Vol.
$201,519 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$110,744 Vol.
55%
Demócrata
$90,774 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton set for May 26—early voting underway from May 18—trader consensus prices a narrow Republican edge at 54.5% over Democrat James Talarico's 46%, reflecting recent polls showing tight general election hypotheticals. A May 5 University of Houston survey gave Paxton a slim 48%-45% lead over Cornyn among likely GOP primary voters, while April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and UT's Texas Politics Project had Talarico ahead of both Republicans by 3-8 points within margins of error, underscoring Paxton's potential general election drag amid MAGA attacks on Cornyn as insufficiently conservative. GOP base turnout and the runoff winner's ability to consolidate could tip the balance in this battleground matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$201,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton set for May 26—early voting underway from May 18—trader consensus prices a narrow Republican edge at 54.5% over Democrat James Talarico's 46%, reflecting recent polls showing tight general election hypotheticals. A May 5 University of Houston survey gave Paxton a slim 48%-45% lead over Cornyn among likely GOP primary voters, while April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and UT's Texas Politics Project had Talarico ahead of both Republicans by 3-8 points within margins of error, underscoring Paxton's potential general election drag amid MAGA attacks on Cornyn as insufficiently conservative. GOP base turnout and the runoff winner's ability to consolidate could tip the balance in this battleground matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$201,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton set for May 26—early voting underway from May 18—trader consensus prices a narrow Republican edge at 54.5% over Democrat James Talarico's 46%, reflecting recent polls showing tight general election hypotheticals. A May 5 University of Houston survey gave Paxton a slim 48%-45% lead over Cornyn among likely GOP primary voters, while April polls from Texas Public Opinion Research and UT's Texas Politics Project had Talarico ahead of both Republicans by 3-8 points within margins of error, underscoring Paxton's potential general election drag amid MAGA attacks on Cornyn as insufficiently conservative. GOP base turnout and the runoff winner's ability to consolidate could tip the balance in this battleground matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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