Recent polling averages place Democratic state representative James Talarico narrowly ahead of or statistically tied with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas Senate race, reflecting Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn and his subsequent vulnerabilities. Multiple surveys released in early August 2026 show Talarico benefiting from strong independent and moderate support plus overperformance among Democrats, while Paxton trails among some Republican voters amid ongoing scrutiny. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a Democratic Senate win in Texas since 1988 keep the contest competitive, with traders pricing the outcome as closely contested pending further shifts in turnout, economic conditions, or late-campaign developments before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$754,460 Vol.
$754,460 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
48%
$754,460 Vol.
$754,460 Vol.
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$360,872 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$393,588 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages place Democratic state representative James Talarico narrowly ahead of or statistically tied with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas Senate race, reflecting Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn and his subsequent vulnerabilities. Multiple surveys released in early August 2026 show Talarico benefiting from strong independent and moderate support plus overperformance among Democrats, while Paxton trails among some Republican voters amid ongoing scrutiny. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a Democratic Senate win in Texas since 1988 keep the contest competitive, with traders pricing the outcome as closely contested pending further shifts in turnout, economic conditions, or late-campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$754,460Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages place Democratic state representative James Talarico narrowly ahead of or statistically tied with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas Senate race, reflecting Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn and his subsequent vulnerabilities. Multiple surveys released in early August 2026 show Talarico benefiting from strong independent and moderate support plus overperformance among Democrats, while Paxton trails among some Republican voters amid ongoing scrutiny. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a Democratic Senate win in Texas since 1988 keep the contest competitive, with traders pricing the outcome as closely contested pending further shifts in turnout, economic conditions, or late-campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$754,460Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages place Democratic state representative James Talarico narrowly ahead of or statistically tied with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the November 2026 Texas Senate race, reflecting Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn and his subsequent vulnerabilities. Multiple surveys released in early August 2026 show Talarico benefiting from strong independent and moderate support plus overperformance among Democrats, while Paxton trails among some Republican voters amid ongoing scrutiny. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a Democratic Senate win in Texas since 1988 keep the contest competitive, with traders pricing the outcome as closely contested pending further shifts in turnout, economic conditions, or late-campaign developments before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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