United Russia’s entrenched regional dominance, including its hold on the governorship and 36 of 50 seats in the outgoing Moscow Oblast Duma, drives the market’s overwhelming 96.7% consensus for the party in the September 18–20 legislative election. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member districts—amplifies the advantages of the ruling party’s organizational reach and alignment with federal authorities ahead of the simultaneous national State Duma vote. Systemic opposition parties face structural constraints and low polling, while independent challengers remain marginal. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low turnout in United Russia strongholds or unanticipated administrative adjustments, though traders assign these developments negligible probability given historical patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUnited Russia 97.0%
Rodina 2.0%
The Greens 1.7%
New People 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
United Russia
97%
Rodina
2%
The Greens
2%
New People
1%
Communists of Russia
1%
A Just Russia
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia 97.0%
Rodina 2.0%
The Greens 1.7%
New People 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
United Russia
$1,343 Vol.
97%
Rodina
$347 Vol.
2%
The Greens
$492 Vol.
2%
New People
$869 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$284 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$604 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$592 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$347 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$352 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$362 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia’s entrenched regional dominance, including its hold on the governorship and 36 of 50 seats in the outgoing Moscow Oblast Duma, drives the market’s overwhelming 96.7% consensus for the party in the September 18–20 legislative election. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member districts—amplifies the advantages of the ruling party’s organizational reach and alignment with federal authorities ahead of the simultaneous national State Duma vote. Systemic opposition parties face structural constraints and low polling, while independent challengers remain marginal. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low turnout in United Russia strongholds or unanticipated administrative adjustments, though traders assign these developments negligible probability given historical patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volumen
$5,595Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia’s entrenched regional dominance, including its hold on the governorship and 36 of 50 seats in the outgoing Moscow Oblast Duma, drives the market’s overwhelming 96.7% consensus for the party in the September 18–20 legislative election. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member districts—amplifies the advantages of the ruling party’s organizational reach and alignment with federal authorities ahead of the simultaneous national State Duma vote. Systemic opposition parties face structural constraints and low polling, while independent challengers remain marginal. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low turnout in United Russia strongholds or unanticipated administrative adjustments, though traders assign these developments negligible probability given historical patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volumen
$5,595Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia’s entrenched regional dominance, including its hold on the governorship and 36 of 50 seats in the outgoing Moscow Oblast Duma, drives the market’s overwhelming 96.7% consensus for the party in the September 18–20 legislative election. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half single-member districts—amplifies the advantages of the ruling party’s organizational reach and alignment with federal authorities ahead of the simultaneous national State Duma vote. Systemic opposition parties face structural constraints and low polling, while independent challengers remain marginal. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually low turnout in United Russia strongholds or unanticipated administrative adjustments, though traders assign these developments negligible probability given historical patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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