United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party, strong regional institutional support from Governor Denis Pasler, and dominance in candidate selection and ballot positioning ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The mixed electoral system allocates half the 50 seats via party lists with a 5% threshold and half via single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields competitive incumbents and aligned candidates. Opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, New People, A Just Russia, and Yabloko face registration hurdles, limited resources, and historical underperformance in the region. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts, legal challenges to candidate lists, or unexpected scandals could still influence final seat allocation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUnited Russia 95.6%
LDPR 4.5%
CPRF 2.9%
New People 2.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
United Russia
96%
LDPR
4%
CPRF
3%
New People
3%
Yabloko
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 95.6%
LDPR 4.5%
CPRF 2.9%
New People 2.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
United Russia
$581 Vol.
96%
LDPR
$662 Vol.
4%
CPRF
$768 Vol.
3%
New People
$369 Vol.
3%
Yabloko
$499 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$587 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party, strong regional institutional support from Governor Denis Pasler, and dominance in candidate selection and ballot positioning ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The mixed electoral system allocates half the 50 seats via party lists with a 5% threshold and half via single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields competitive incumbents and aligned candidates. Opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, New People, A Just Russia, and Yabloko face registration hurdles, limited resources, and historical underperformance in the region. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts, legal challenges to candidate lists, or unexpected scandals could still influence final seat allocation before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volumen
$3,466Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party, strong regional institutional support from Governor Denis Pasler, and dominance in candidate selection and ballot positioning ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The mixed electoral system allocates half the 50 seats via party lists with a 5% threshold and half via single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields competitive incumbents and aligned candidates. Opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, New People, A Just Russia, and Yabloko face registration hurdles, limited resources, and historical underperformance in the region. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts, legal challenges to candidate lists, or unexpected scandals could still influence final seat allocation before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volumen
$3,466Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party, strong regional institutional support from Governor Denis Pasler, and dominance in candidate selection and ballot positioning ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The mixed electoral system allocates half the 50 seats via party lists with a 5% threshold and half via single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields competitive incumbents and aligned candidates. Opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, New People, A Just Russia, and Yabloko face registration hurdles, limited resources, and historical underperformance in the region. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as turnout shifts, legal challenges to candidate lists, or unexpected scandals could still influence final seat allocation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes