Ashley Hinson leads in the Iowa Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst, benefiting from strong party infrastructure, endorsements including from President Trump, and her U.S. House record in a state with consistent Republican advantages in federal contests. Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Zach Wahls in the June 2 primary and has highlighted his state legislative experience in a competitive general election campaign. Recent polling reflects a close contest, with an early August survey showing Hinson ahead 48% to 45% among likely voters, following a late June Fox News poll that had Turek narrowly ahead. Traders price Hinson as the modest favorite at 57% amid Iowa's electoral history and the candidates' established profiles heading into November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
$180,794 Vol.
$180,794 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$180,794 Vol.
$180,794 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$91,327 Vol.
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,467 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson leads in the Iowa Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst, benefiting from strong party infrastructure, endorsements including from President Trump, and her U.S. House record in a state with consistent Republican advantages in federal contests. Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Zach Wahls in the June 2 primary and has highlighted his state legislative experience in a competitive general election campaign. Recent polling reflects a close contest, with an early August survey showing Hinson ahead 48% to 45% among likely voters, following a late June Fox News poll that had Turek narrowly ahead. Traders price Hinson as the modest favorite at 57% amid Iowa's electoral history and the candidates' established profiles heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volumen
$180,794Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson leads in the Iowa Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst, benefiting from strong party infrastructure, endorsements including from President Trump, and her U.S. House record in a state with consistent Republican advantages in federal contests. Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Zach Wahls in the June 2 primary and has highlighted his state legislative experience in a competitive general election campaign. Recent polling reflects a close contest, with an early August survey showing Hinson ahead 48% to 45% among likely voters, following a late June Fox News poll that had Turek narrowly ahead. Traders price Hinson as the modest favorite at 57% amid Iowa's electoral history and the candidates' established profiles heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$180,794Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Hinson leads in the Iowa Senate race as the Republican nominee in an open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst, benefiting from strong party infrastructure, endorsements including from President Trump, and her U.S. House record in a state with consistent Republican advantages in federal contests. Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Zach Wahls in the June 2 primary and has highlighted his state legislative experience in a competitive general election campaign. Recent polling reflects a close contest, with an early August survey showing Hinson ahead 48% to 45% among likely voters, following a late June Fox News poll that had Turek narrowly ahead. Traders price Hinson as the modest favorite at 57% amid Iowa's electoral history and the candidates' established profiles heading into November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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