Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts easily won Nebraska's May 12 primary, positioning him for the November 3 general election against independent Dan Osborn, while Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, who defeated William Forbes, has pledged to withdraw and endorse Osborn to consolidate opposition votes. Recent polls, including a May 11 Tavern Research survey showing Osborn ahead 47%-42%, reflect the race's competitiveness, driven by Osborn's strong 2024 performance against Sen. Deb Fischer and populist appeal to working-class voters. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 58.5% implied probability, citing Nebraska's Republican lean, Ricketts' incumbency as former governor, superior fundraising, and GOP base turnout advantages in this deep-red state, despite the tight contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRepublicano 59%
Independiente 39%
Demócrata 3.6%
$113,333 Vol.
$113,333 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
59%
Independiente
39%
Demócrata
4%
Republicano 59%
Independiente 39%
Demócrata 3.6%
$113,333 Vol.
$113,333 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$47,902 Vol.
59%
Independiente
$2,936 Vol.
39%
Demócrata
$62,495 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts easily won Nebraska's May 12 primary, positioning him for the November 3 general election against independent Dan Osborn, while Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, who defeated William Forbes, has pledged to withdraw and endorse Osborn to consolidate opposition votes. Recent polls, including a May 11 Tavern Research survey showing Osborn ahead 47%-42%, reflect the race's competitiveness, driven by Osborn's strong 2024 performance against Sen. Deb Fischer and populist appeal to working-class voters. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 58.5% implied probability, citing Nebraska's Republican lean, Ricketts' incumbency as former governor, superior fundraising, and GOP base turnout advantages in this deep-red state, despite the tight contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$113,333Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts easily won Nebraska's May 12 primary, positioning him for the November 3 general election against independent Dan Osborn, while Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, who defeated William Forbes, has pledged to withdraw and endorse Osborn to consolidate opposition votes. Recent polls, including a May 11 Tavern Research survey showing Osborn ahead 47%-42%, reflect the race's competitiveness, driven by Osborn's strong 2024 performance against Sen. Deb Fischer and populist appeal to working-class voters. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 58.5% implied probability, citing Nebraska's Republican lean, Ricketts' incumbency as former governor, superior fundraising, and GOP base turnout advantages in this deep-red state, despite the tight contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$113,333Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts easily won Nebraska's May 12 primary, positioning him for the November 3 general election against independent Dan Osborn, while Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, who defeated William Forbes, has pledged to withdraw and endorse Osborn to consolidate opposition votes. Recent polls, including a May 11 Tavern Research survey showing Osborn ahead 47%-42%, reflect the race's competitiveness, driven by Osborn's strong 2024 performance against Sen. Deb Fischer and populist appeal to working-class voters. Trader consensus prices Republicans at 58.5% implied probability, citing Nebraska's Republican lean, Ricketts' incumbency as former governor, superior fundraising, and GOP base turnout advantages in this deep-red state, despite the tight contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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