Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections and his primary victory with nearly 80% of the vote. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who emerged from an 11-candidate primary, has raised substantial early funds and drawn attention with competitive polling averages near 44-47% in recent surveys. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on agriculture, immigration, tariffs, and medical debt issues, with a vocal audience interrupting Marshall. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats in a state without a Senate win for their party since 1932. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals while incorporating the race's relative closeness compared to historical benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
22%
$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$32,667 Vol.
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$17,992 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections and his primary victory with nearly 80% of the vote. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who emerged from an 11-candidate primary, has raised substantial early funds and drawn attention with competitive polling averages near 44-47% in recent surveys. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on agriculture, immigration, tariffs, and medical debt issues, with a vocal audience interrupting Marshall. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats in a state without a Senate win for their party since 1932. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals while incorporating the race's relative closeness compared to historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volumen
$50,659Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections and his primary victory with nearly 80% of the vote. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who emerged from an 11-candidate primary, has raised substantial early funds and drawn attention with competitive polling averages near 44-47% in recent surveys. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on agriculture, immigration, tariffs, and medical debt issues, with a vocal audience interrupting Marshall. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats in a state without a Senate win for their party since 1932. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals while incorporating the race's relative closeness compared to historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$50,659Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections and his primary victory with nearly 80% of the vote. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent pastor who emerged from an 11-candidate primary, has raised substantial early funds and drawn attention with competitive polling averages near 44-47% in recent surveys. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured pointed exchanges on agriculture, immigration, tariffs, and medical debt issues, with a vocal audience interrupting Marshall. Election forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural barriers for Democrats in a state without a Senate win for their party since 1932. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these fundamentals while incorporating the race's relative closeness compared to historical benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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