Skip to main content
icon for Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite
Política·Cavite

Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite

icon for Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite
Política·Cavite

Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite

Jennifer Austria Barzaga 41%

Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat 34%

Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr. 13%

Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Jennifer Austria Barzaga 41%

Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat 34%

Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr. 13%

Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Jennifer Austria Barzaga

Jennifer Austria Barzaga

$61 Vol.

41%

icon for Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat

Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat

$41 Vol.

34%

icon for Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr.

Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr.

$41 Vol.

13%

icon for Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag

Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag

$41 Vol.

1%

icon for Leysander Aguilar Ordenes

Leysander Aguilar Ordenes

$41 Vol.

41%

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
Volumen
$225
Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
Volumen
$225
Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.

Relacionado

icon for Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

94%
icon for ¿Ganará Scott Timko la elección especial para ocupar el escaño del Distrito 12 de la Cámara de Representantes de Pensilvania?

¿Ganará Scott Timko la elección especial para ocupar el escaño del Distrito 12 de la Cámara de Representantes de Pensilvania?

81%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará Mike Thompson el escaño de la Cámara por el distrito CA-04?

¿Ganará Mike Thompson el escaño de la Cámara por el distrito CA-04?

87%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jennifer Austria Barzaga" con 41%, seguido de "Leysander Aguilar Ordenes" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite" es "Jennifer Austria Barzaga" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Leysander Aguilar Ordenes" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Filipinas, ganador de las elecciones especiales del 4 .º distrito congresional de Cavite" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.