South Carolina's deep Republican lean and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the state's senior senator underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Early polls show Graham ahead in the Republican primary against challengers such as Mark Lynch and ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews in general-election matchups, though his approval ratings remain soft. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the state's history of delivering comfortable margins for GOP candidates. Primary filing closed in March, with no late developments altering the structural advantage. Traders appear to weigh the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure more heavily than any individual polling fluctuations at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Sur
$29,545 Vol.
$29,545 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
81%
Demócrata
21%
$29,545 Vol.
$29,545 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$11,169 Vol.
81%
Demócrata
$18,376 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's deep Republican lean and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the state's senior senator underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Early polls show Graham ahead in the Republican primary against challengers such as Mark Lynch and ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews in general-election matchups, though his approval ratings remain soft. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the state's history of delivering comfortable margins for GOP candidates. Primary filing closed in March, with no late developments altering the structural advantage. Traders appear to weigh the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure more heavily than any individual polling fluctuations at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$29,545Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's deep Republican lean and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the state's senior senator underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Early polls show Graham ahead in the Republican primary against challengers such as Mark Lynch and ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews in general-election matchups, though his approval ratings remain soft. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the state's history of delivering comfortable margins for GOP candidates. Primary filing closed in March, with no late developments altering the structural advantage. Traders appear to weigh the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure more heavily than any individual polling fluctuations at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$29,545Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's deep Republican lean and Lindsey Graham's long incumbency as the state's senior senator underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Early polls show Graham ahead in the Republican primary against challengers such as Mark Lynch and ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews in general-election matchups, though his approval ratings remain soft. Race ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the state's history of delivering comfortable margins for GOP candidates. Primary filing closed in March, with no late developments altering the structural advantage. Traders appear to weigh the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure more heavily than any individual polling fluctuations at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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