Nellie Pou (D), the incumbent who succeeded the late Bill Pascrell and won the seat in 2024 with 50.8 percent, holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race because of her established name recognition, unopposed Democratic primary, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Rosemary Pino. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and features Democratic advantages in registration and urban areas such as Paterson, Passaic, and Clifton, even after Donald Trump narrowly carried it in the prior presidential contest. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Likely Democratic. A Republican upset would require a major national GOP wave, unusually strong turnout in Bergen and Passaic counties, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting Pou.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-09
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-09
$22,232 Vol.
$22,232 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
91%
Partido Republicano
9%
$22,232 Vol.
$22,232 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,438 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$10,794 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou (D), the incumbent who succeeded the late Bill Pascrell and won the seat in 2024 with 50.8 percent, holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race because of her established name recognition, unopposed Democratic primary, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Rosemary Pino. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and features Democratic advantages in registration and urban areas such as Paterson, Passaic, and Clifton, even after Donald Trump narrowly carried it in the prior presidential contest. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Likely Democratic. A Republican upset would require a major national GOP wave, unusually strong turnout in Bergen and Passaic counties, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting Pou.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
Volumen
$22,232Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou (D), the incumbent who succeeded the late Bill Pascrell and won the seat in 2024 with 50.8 percent, holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race because of her established name recognition, unopposed Democratic primary, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Rosemary Pino. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and features Democratic advantages in registration and urban areas such as Paterson, Passaic, and Clifton, even after Donald Trump narrowly carried it in the prior presidential contest. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Likely Democratic. A Republican upset would require a major national GOP wave, unusually strong turnout in Bergen and Passaic counties, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting Pou.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,232Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nellie Pou (D), the incumbent who succeeded the late Bill Pascrell and won the seat in 2024 with 50.8 percent, holds a commanding lead in the NJ-09 race because of her established name recognition, unopposed Democratic primary, and substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Rosemary Pino. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and features Democratic advantages in registration and urban areas such as Paterson, Passaic, and Clifton, even after Donald Trump narrowly carried it in the prior presidential contest. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Likely Democratic. A Republican upset would require a major national GOP wave, unusually strong turnout in Bergen and Passaic counties, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting Pou.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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