Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 special election for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, and broad party support after an easy primary win. Angie Nixon’s August primary victory over Alex Vindman positioned her as the Democratic nominee, yet her progressive platform has not narrowed Moody’s typical 8- to 10-point polling edge in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a reported Medicaid-funds controversy or shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically tighten the contest, though structural partisan factors limit realistic paths for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$110,493 Vol.
$110,493 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$110,493 Vol.
$110,493 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
$55,093 Vol.
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,400 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 special election for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, and broad party support after an easy primary win. Angie Nixon’s August primary victory over Alex Vindman positioned her as the Democratic nominee, yet her progressive platform has not narrowed Moody’s typical 8- to 10-point polling edge in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a reported Medicaid-funds controversy or shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically tighten the contest, though structural partisan factors limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$110,493Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 special election for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, and broad party support after an easy primary win. Angie Nixon’s August primary victory over Alex Vindman positioned her as the Democratic nominee, yet her progressive platform has not narrowed Moody’s typical 8- to 10-point polling edge in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a reported Medicaid-funds controversy or shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically tighten the contest, though structural partisan factors limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$110,493Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the November 2026 special election for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican advantage in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, and broad party support after an easy primary win. Angie Nixon’s August primary victory over Alex Vindman positioned her as the Democratic nominee, yet her progressive platform has not narrowed Moody’s typical 8- to 10-point polling edge in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Late developments such as a reported Medicaid-funds controversy or shifts in national midterm dynamics could theoretically tighten the contest, though structural partisan factors limit realistic paths for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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