Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican appointee to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, backed by strong party infrastructure and Florida’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80 percent in the August primary after receiving endorsements from President Trump and Governor Ron DeSantis, while out-raising Democrat Angie Nixon by a wide margin. Nixon advanced through an upset primary victory over Alex Vindman but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Traders price the race at 92 percent for Moody based on these fundamentals and polling averages showing double-digit Republican advantages. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among key voting blocs could still alter the November 3 outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$110,493 Vol.
$110,493 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$110,493 Vol.
$110,493 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
$55,093 Vol.
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,400 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican appointee to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, backed by strong party infrastructure and Florida’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80 percent in the August primary after receiving endorsements from President Trump and Governor Ron DeSantis, while out-raising Democrat Angie Nixon by a wide margin. Nixon advanced through an upset primary victory over Alex Vindman but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Traders price the race at 92 percent for Moody based on these fundamentals and polling averages showing double-digit Republican advantages. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among key voting blocs could still alter the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$110,493Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican appointee to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, backed by strong party infrastructure and Florida’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80 percent in the August primary after receiving endorsements from President Trump and Governor Ron DeSantis, while out-raising Democrat Angie Nixon by a wide margin. Nixon advanced through an upset primary victory over Alex Vindman but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Traders price the race at 92 percent for Moody based on these fundamentals and polling averages showing double-digit Republican advantages. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among key voting blocs could still alter the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$110,493Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election as the Republican appointee to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, backed by strong party infrastructure and Florida’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80 percent in the August primary after receiving endorsements from President Trump and Governor Ron DeSantis, while out-raising Democrat Angie Nixon by a wide margin. Nixon advanced through an upset primary victory over Alex Vindman but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests since 2012. Traders price the race at 92 percent for Moody based on these fundamentals and polling averages showing double-digit Republican advantages. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually high turnout among key voting blocs could still alter the November 3 outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes