Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-36
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-36
$28,125 Vol.
$28,125 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$28,125 Vol.
$28,125 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,235 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$19,890 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$28,125Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,125Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brian Babin, first elected in 2014, secured his party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Recent redistricting removed more competitive areas and reinforced the seat's Republican lean, producing a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits. Historical results in Southeast Texas counties, combined with strong 2024 presidential margins and the absence of major scandals or competitive primary challenges, underpin the 92.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national midterm environment, significant local turnout shifts, or late developments such as candidate withdrawal that have not emerged in current reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes