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icon for CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)
Política·Parciales

CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)

icon for CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)
Política·Parciales

CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)

NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO

Lateefah Simon

$101 Vol.

89%

Jamie Joyce

$55 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 12th congressional district, a safe Democratic seat, the November 2026 general election pits incumbent Lateefah Simon against primary challenger Jamie Joyce after both advanced from the June top-two primary. Trader consensus reflects a closely contested race due to the intra-party matchup, where Simon's strong primary performance and incumbency advantages balance against Joyce's name recognition and potential for consolidated support among voters seeking change. Key dynamics include fundraising trends, endorsement patterns from party leaders and local groups, and turnout expectations in a low-profile general election without a Republican opponent. Scheduled events such as candidate debates or shifts in national economic conditions could widen the gap by clarifying voter preferences on issues like taxes and housing policy.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$156
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 12th congressional district, a safe Democratic seat, the November 2026 general election pits incumbent Lateefah Simon against primary challenger Jamie Joyce after both advanced from the June top-two primary. Trader consensus reflects a closely contested race due to the intra-party matchup, where Simon's strong primary performance and incumbency advantages balance against Joyce's name recognition and potential for consolidated support among voters seeking change. Key dynamics include fundraising trends, endorsement patterns from party leaders and local groups, and turnout expectations in a low-profile general election without a Republican opponent. Scheduled events such as candidate debates or shifts in national economic conditions could widen the gap by clarifying voter preferences on issues like taxes and housing policy.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$156
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lateefah Simon" con 89%, seguido de "Jamie Joyce" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 89¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)" es "Lateefah Simon" con 89%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jamie Joyce" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara (individual)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.