The strongly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district in East Texas, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran, who won re-election unopposed in 2024, faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in the November 2026 general election after both parties completed their primaries and runoffs earlier this year. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Republican-held, consistent with the district's electoral history and voter composition. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,641 Vol.
$18,641 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$18,641 Vol.
$18,641 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,997 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$13,643 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district in East Texas, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran, who won re-election unopposed in 2024, faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in the November 2026 general election after both parties completed their primaries and runoffs earlier this year. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Republican-held, consistent with the district's electoral history and voter composition. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$18,641Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district in East Texas, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran, who won re-election unopposed in 2024, faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in the November 2026 general election after both parties completed their primaries and runoffs earlier this year. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Republican-held, consistent with the district's electoral history and voter composition. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,641Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Republican character of Texas's 1st congressional district in East Texas, where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeded 72 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Nathaniel Moran, who won re-election unopposed in 2024, faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in the November 2026 general election after both parties completed their primaries and runoffs earlier this year. Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Republican-held, consistent with the district's electoral history and voter composition. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes