Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah's 1st congressional district by concentrating Salt Lake County voters, producing a D+12 or stronger partisan lean according to recent analyses and placing the seat well outside historical Republican margins. With no incumbent running and the Republican nominee already set, Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select a general election candidate who enters November with a substantial structural edge, consistent with the 93% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. This positioning aligns with the district's transformed electorate, where recent presidential voting patterns show double-digit Democratic advantages. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented turnout surge or a major late-cycle shift in voter sentiment that overcomes the redrawn boundaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$31,649 Vol.
$31,649 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$31,649 Vol.
$31,649 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$2,354 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$29,294 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah's 1st congressional district by concentrating Salt Lake County voters, producing a D+12 or stronger partisan lean according to recent analyses and placing the seat well outside historical Republican margins. With no incumbent running and the Republican nominee already set, Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select a general election candidate who enters November with a substantial structural edge, consistent with the 93% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. This positioning aligns with the district's transformed electorate, where recent presidential voting patterns show double-digit Democratic advantages. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented turnout surge or a major late-cycle shift in voter sentiment that overcomes the redrawn boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$31,649Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah's 1st congressional district by concentrating Salt Lake County voters, producing a D+12 or stronger partisan lean according to recent analyses and placing the seat well outside historical Republican margins. With no incumbent running and the Republican nominee already set, Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select a general election candidate who enters November with a substantial structural edge, consistent with the 93% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. This positioning aligns with the district's transformed electorate, where recent presidential voting patterns show double-digit Democratic advantages. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented turnout surge or a major late-cycle shift in voter sentiment that overcomes the redrawn boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,649Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has fundamentally altered Utah's 1st congressional district by concentrating Salt Lake County voters, producing a D+12 or stronger partisan lean according to recent analyses and placing the seat well outside historical Republican margins. With no incumbent running and the Republican nominee already set, Democratic primary voters on June 23 will select a general election candidate who enters November with a substantial structural edge, consistent with the 93% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. This positioning aligns with the district's transformed electorate, where recent presidential voting patterns show double-digit Democratic advantages. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented turnout surge or a major late-cycle shift in voter sentiment that overcomes the redrawn boundaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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