Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$18,242 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$12,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$30,768Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,768Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 8th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations for a strong general election performance on November 3. The district, redrawn in May 2026 to encompass additional portions of Shelby County alongside rural West Tennessee areas, carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior results, including Kustoff's 72.3% margin in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the current market consensus. A Democratic nominee, Shelby County Criminal Court Clerk Heidi Kuhn, has advanced but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though no such factors have materialized to date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes