Tennessee's Republican-led legislature passed a new congressional map on May 7, 2026, splitting the majority-Black Memphis-based TN-09 and diluting its Democratic lean, positioning Republicans as 81.5% trader favorites to claim the seat in the November general election. Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen announced no plans to run in the redrawn district, focusing instead on a federal lawsuit with other Democrats alleging racial gerrymandering under the Voting Rights Act. State Sen. Brent Taylor swiftly entered the Republican primary, bolstering GOP momentum amid a fragmented Democratic field including Justin Pearson and others. Primaries are August 6, with court rulings potentially altering the map before then.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,205 Vol.
$25,205 Vol.
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Demócrata
15%
$25,205 Vol.
$25,205 Vol.
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Demócrata
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's Republican-led legislature passed a new congressional map on May 7, 2026, splitting the majority-Black Memphis-based TN-09 and diluting its Democratic lean, positioning Republicans as 81.5% trader favorites to claim the seat in the November general election. Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen announced no plans to run in the redrawn district, focusing instead on a federal lawsuit with other Democrats alleging racial gerrymandering under the Voting Rights Act. State Sen. Brent Taylor swiftly entered the Republican primary, bolstering GOP momentum amid a fragmented Democratic field including Justin Pearson and others. Primaries are August 6, with court rulings potentially altering the map before then.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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