Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$33,175 Vol.
$33,175 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,961 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$13,214 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,175Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,175Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis into a more competitive seat extending toward Nashville suburbs, yielding an R+9 Partisan Voter Index and a 21-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. This map change prompted incumbent Steve Cohen to forgo reelection and shifted the race into Solid Republican or Likely Republican territory according to major forecasters. Following August 6 primaries, Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson advanced on the other side, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on the altered electorate and limited recent polling shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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