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Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación

icon for Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación
Política·Participación

Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación

<2.2M 45%

2,2M-2,35M 45%

2.35M-2.5M 45%

2.5M-2.65M 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<2.2M 45%

2,2M-2,35M 45%

2.35M-2.5M 45%

2.5M-2.65M 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<2.2M

$0 Vol.

45%

2,2M-2,35M

$0 Vol.

45%

2.35M-2.5M

$0 Vol.

45%

2.5M-2.65M

$0 Vol.

45%

2.65M-2.8M

$0 Vol.

45%

2.8M-2.95M

$0 Vol.

45%

2,95M-3,1M

$0 Vol.

45%

3,1M+

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Massachusetts Senate race features a competitive Democratic primary on September 1 between incumbent Ed Markey and challenger Seth Moulton, with general election turnout on November 3 expected to reflect typical midterm patterns in the solidly Democratic state. Recent polls show Markey maintaining a lead but with notable undecided voters, while low general election enthusiasm and limited Republican prospects contribute to variable participation forecasts. Historical Senate turnout reached roughly 3.4 million in the 2024 presidential cycle but tends to decline in off-years absent high-profile contests or ballot measures. Traders appear evenly split across vote ranges because primary intensity, voter mobilization efforts, and external factors like weather or concurrent races could shift overall participation without a dominant signal yet emerging.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Massachusetts Senate race features a competitive Democratic primary on September 1 between incumbent Ed Markey and challenger Seth Moulton, with general election turnout on November 3 expected to reflect typical midterm patterns in the solidly Democratic state. Recent polls show Markey maintaining a lead but with notable undecided voters, while low general election enthusiasm and limited Republican prospects contribute to variable participation forecasts. Historical Senate turnout reached roughly 3.4 million in the 2024 presidential cycle but tends to decline in off-years absent high-profile contests or ballot measures. Traders appear evenly split across vote ranges because primary intensity, voter mobilization efforts, and external factors like weather or concurrent races could shift overall participation without a dominant signal yet emerging.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<2.2M" con 45%, seguido de "2,2M-2,35M" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación" es "<2.2M" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "2,2M-2,35M" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts: participación" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.