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Política·Primarias

Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida

icon for Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida
Política·Primarias

Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida

James Fishback 98.4%

James Walker Shaw 3.2%

Jay Collins 2.9%

Byron Donalds 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,741 Vol.

James Fishback 98.4%

James Walker Shaw 3.2%

Jay Collins 2.9%

Byron Donalds 2.9%

Polymarket

$1,741 Vol.

icon for James Fishback

James Fishback

$20 Vol.

98%

icon for James Walker Shaw

James Walker Shaw

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Daniel Nokovich

Daniel Nokovich

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Jim Holcomb

Jim Holcomb

$119 Vol.

1%

icon for Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Rachel Rodriguez

Rachel Rodriguez

$155 Vol.

1%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$34 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,741
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Fishback holds a commanding 98.4% implied probability of finishing third in the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary because unofficial results with 98% of votes counted placed him behind frontrunner Byron Donalds and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates. Donalds secured roughly 48% as the Trump-endorsed nominee while Collins took second at 25%, leaving Fishback at about 10.5% ahead of Paul Renner and the remaining entrants. Trader consensus reflects the completed vote tabulation and the low likelihood of any reversal through outstanding ballots or certification challenges. Only late procedural disputes or official recounts altering the final ordering could shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$1,741
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "James Fishback" con 98%, seguido de "Paul Renner" con 50%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" es "James Fishback" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Paul Renner" con 50%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Tercero de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Florida" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.