Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire won the seat in 2024 by roughly 57 percent and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Both parties face August 4 primaries—McGuire against Melanie Lucero on the Republican side and a three-way Democratic contest featuring former Representative Tom Perriello—yet the general-election environment favors the GOP nominee. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this positioning since the start of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$55,918 Vol.
$55,918 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
74%
Partido Demócrata
27%
$55,918 Vol.
$55,918 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,990 Vol.
74%
Partido Demócrata
$28,928 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire won the seat in 2024 by roughly 57 percent and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Both parties face August 4 primaries—McGuire against Melanie Lucero on the Republican side and a three-way Democratic contest featuring former Representative Tom Perriello—yet the general-election environment favors the GOP nominee. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this positioning since the start of the year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$55,918Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire won the seat in 2024 by roughly 57 percent and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Both parties face August 4 primaries—McGuire against Melanie Lucero on the Republican side and a three-way Democratic contest featuring former Representative Tom Perriello—yet the general-election environment favors the GOP nominee. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this positioning since the start of the year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$55,918Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean, reflected in its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire won the seat in 2024 by roughly 57 percent and enters the 2026 cycle with substantial fundraising and institutional support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Both parties face August 4 primaries—McGuire against Melanie Lucero on the Republican side and a three-way Democratic contest featuring former Representative Tom Perriello—yet the general-election environment favors the GOP nominee. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered this positioning since the start of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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