Maryland's 5th congressional district features a consistent Democratic lean rooted in its suburban Washington, D.C., demographics and voting patterns, with the prior incumbent securing double-digit margins in recent cycles. Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet Adrian Boafo captured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Chris Chaffee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major polling shifts or registration changes since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave, a significant scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, or substantially higher Republican turnout in southern Maryland counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$17,928 Vol.
$17,928 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$17,928 Vol.
$17,928 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,736 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$9,192 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district features a consistent Democratic lean rooted in its suburban Washington, D.C., demographics and voting patterns, with the prior incumbent securing double-digit margins in recent cycles. Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet Adrian Boafo captured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Chris Chaffee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major polling shifts or registration changes since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave, a significant scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, or substantially higher Republican turnout in southern Maryland counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$17,928Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district features a consistent Democratic lean rooted in its suburban Washington, D.C., demographics and voting patterns, with the prior incumbent securing double-digit margins in recent cycles. Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet Adrian Boafo captured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Chris Chaffee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major polling shifts or registration changes since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave, a significant scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, or substantially higher Republican turnout in southern Maryland counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,928Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district features a consistent Democratic lean rooted in its suburban Washington, D.C., demographics and voting patterns, with the prior incumbent securing double-digit margins in recent cycles. Steny Hoyer's retirement created an open seat, yet Adrian Boafo captured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Chris Chaffee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major polling shifts or registration changes since the primary. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave, a significant scandal or health event affecting the Democratic nominee, or substantially higher Republican turnout in southern Maryland counties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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