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Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Dan Koh 80%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

Rachel Creemers 3.1%

John Beccia 2.6%

Polymarket

$36,919 Vol.

Dan Koh 80%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

Rachel Creemers 3.1%

John Beccia 2.6%

Polymarket

$36,919 Vol.

Dan Koh

$4,562 Vol.

80%

Tram Nguyen

$4,427 Vol.

3%

Rachel Creemers

$2,182 Vol.

3%

John Beccia

$1,766 Vol.

3%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,158 Vol.

2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,276 Vol.

2%

Kevin Larivee

$1,519 Vol.

2%

Seth Moulton

$1,876 Vol.

1%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,896 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,592 Vol.

<1%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,189 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 79.5% implied probability to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his record fundraising exceeding $3.5 million, a March Workbench Strategy poll showing him at 42% support among likely voters, and high name recognition with 65% favorability. Former President Biden's endorsement on May 4, followed by local backs like Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan, has solidified his frontrunner status in the crowded field, where incumbent Seth Moulton vacated the seat for a U.S. Senate challenge against Ed Markey. Challengers like Tram Nguyen (3.3%) and Rachel Creemers (3.8%) trail amid fragmented support, though a new poll or endorsements could shift dynamics before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,919
Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 79.5% implied probability to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his record fundraising exceeding $3.5 million, a March Workbench Strategy poll showing him at 42% support among likely voters, and high name recognition with 65% favorability. Former President Biden's endorsement on May 4, followed by local backs like Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan, has solidified his frontrunner status in the crowded field, where incumbent Seth Moulton vacated the seat for a U.S. Senate challenge against Ed Markey. Challengers like Tram Nguyen (3.3%) and Rachel Creemers (3.8%) trail amid fragmented support, though a new poll or endorsements could shift dynamics before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,919
Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Dan Koh" con 80%, seguido de "Tram Nguyen" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $36.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Dan Koh" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tram Nguyen" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.