Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith has represented Washington's 9th congressional district since 1997 and faces Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party. Smith's consistent reelection margins and the district's urban and suburban composition in the Seattle area have limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. Primary results on August 4 advanced the two major-party candidates without notable surprises. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$28,297 Vol.
$28,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$28,297 Vol.
$28,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$10,741 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$17,556 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith has represented Washington's 9th congressional district since 1997 and faces Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party. Smith's consistent reelection margins and the district's urban and suburban composition in the Seattle area have limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. Primary results on August 4 advanced the two major-party candidates without notable surprises. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$28,297Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith has represented Washington's 9th congressional district since 1997 and faces Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party. Smith's consistent reelection margins and the district's urban and suburban composition in the Seattle area have limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. Primary results on August 4 advanced the two major-party candidates without notable surprises. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,297Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith has represented Washington's 9th congressional district since 1997 and faces Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler in the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic Party. Smith's consistent reelection margins and the district's urban and suburban composition in the Seattle area have limited Republican competitiveness in recent cycles. Primary results on August 4 advanced the two major-party candidates without notable surprises. A Democratic hold could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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