Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin
David Crowley 100.0%
Missy Hughes <1%
Sara Rodríguez <1%
Kelda Roys <1%
$3,441,581 Vol.
$3,441,581 Vol.
11 ago 2026
David Crowley
$1,407,523 Vol.
Sí
Missy Hughes
$12,261 Vol.
No
Sara Rodríguez
$53,484 Vol.
No
Kelda Roys
$17,711 Vol.
No
Joel Brennan
$16,322 Vol.
No
Chris Larson
$14,740 Vol.
No
Mandela Barnes
$48,661 Vol.
No
Francesca Hong
$1,835,669 Vol.
No
Brett Hulsey
$6,833 Vol.
No
Zachary Roper
$6,731 Vol.
No
Tim Jacobson
$6,521 Vol.
No
Melissa Agard
$7,313 Vol.
No
Tom Nelson
$7,812 Vol.
No
David Crowley 100.0%
Missy Hughes <1%
Sara Rodríguez <1%
Kelda Roys <1%
$3,441,581 Vol.
$3,441,581 Vol.
11 ago 2026
David Crowley
$1,407,523 Vol.
Sí
Missy Hughes
$12,261 Vol.
No
Sara Rodríguez
$53,484 Vol.
No
Kelda Roys
$17,711 Vol.
No
Joel Brennan
$16,322 Vol.
No
Chris Larson
$14,740 Vol.
No
Mandela Barnes
$48,661 Vol.
No
Francesca Hong
$1,835,669 Vol.
No
Brett Hulsey
$6,833 Vol.
No
Zachary Roper
$6,731 Vol.
No
Tim Jacobson
$6,521 Vol.
No
Melissa Agard
$7,313 Vol.
No
Tom Nelson
$7,812 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Aug 11 2026
Francesca Hong wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary
Francesca Hong plunges to 60%36%
Francesca Hong emerged as the winner of the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, solidifying her position as the party's nominee and marking a historic moment as a democratic socialist and first Asian American woman nominee.
Aug 11 2026
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor
David Crowley surges to 88%86%
On primary election day, Crowley surged in the final count, overtaking Francesca Hong and winning the Democratic nomination, reflected by a sharp price increase to 88%.
Jul 30 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin Democratic governor primary
Mandela Barnes drops to 0%13%
Mandela Barnes, former lieutenant governor and early front-runner, withdrew from the race citing Francesca Hong's insurmountable lead, which cleared the path for Hong and reshaped the primary dynamics.
Jul 29 2026
Francesca Hong surges in Democratic primary polls
Francesca Hong jumps to 38%8%
State Representative Francesca Hong surged in polls, leading the Democratic primary with strong progressive support, challenging establishment candidates and shaping the race dynamics.
Jul 28 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin governor race
Mandela Barnes drops to 1%12%
Barnes exited the race citing insurmountable polling deficits, which shifted support and market prices away from him, effectively ending his chances.
Jul 18 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Gov. Evers' endorsement
David Crowley jumps to 8%5%
Following Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary and received the endorsement of outgoing Governor Tony Evers, significantly boosting his campaign momentum.
Jul 17 2026
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor race amid campaign finance issues
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign due to financial discrepancies and management issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and leading to David Crowley reentering the race.
Jul 17 2026
Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor primary
Sara Rodriguez dips to 0%1%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign citing financial reporting issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and opening the door for David Crowley to reenter the race.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 41%41%
Following Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary, gaining a significant boost with Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, which increased his market price substantially.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley re-enters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 24%24%
Crowley relaunched his campaign and received a key endorsement from Governor Tony Evers, leading to a significant rebound in his market price and renewed competitiveness in the primary.
Jul 13 2026
Sara Rodriguez fires campaign manager amid financial mismanagement
Sara Rodriguez drops to 1%7%
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez fired her campaign manager after discovering significant financial discrepancies, triggering a crisis that undermined her campaign's viability.
Jul 8 2026
David Crowley suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
David Crowley suspended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, signaling a consolidation of establishment support and affecting market perceptions of the race.
Jul 8 2026
Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley withdraws from governor's race
David Crowley drops to 1%9%
David Crowley suspended his campaign, causing his market price to drop sharply as his chances of winning diminished temporarily.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes drops to 0%5%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes dropped out of the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating establishment support behind Rodriguez and impacting the dynamics of the race.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting her market price.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign and endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes suspended her campaign and endorsed Lt. Governor Sara Rodriguez, consolidating moderate support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor in the August 11, 2026 primary through a narrow statewide victory over state Rep. Francesca Hong, with results showing roughly 39.8% to 39.3%. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley benefited from late-cycle consolidation of establishment support, including an endorsement from outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, substantial outside spending, and positioning as the candidate best equipped for the general election against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Earlier dropouts by figures such as Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez further concentrated resources and voter attention. With the primary concluded and results certified in his favor, trader consensus reflects the confirmed vote totals. Remaining uncertainty centers on any protracted canvassing disputes or legal challenges that could delay formal resolution, though no such developments have emerged.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Aug 11 2026
Francesca Hong wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary
Francesca Hong plunges to 60%36%
Francesca Hong emerged as the winner of the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, solidifying her position as the party's nominee and marking a historic moment as a democratic socialist and first Asian American woman nominee.
Aug 11 2026
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor
David Crowley surges to 88%86%
On primary election day, Crowley surged in the final count, overtaking Francesca Hong and winning the Democratic nomination, reflected by a sharp price increase to 88%.
Jul 30 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin Democratic governor primary
Mandela Barnes drops to 0%13%
Mandela Barnes, former lieutenant governor and early front-runner, withdrew from the race citing Francesca Hong's insurmountable lead, which cleared the path for Hong and reshaped the primary dynamics.
Jul 29 2026
Francesca Hong surges in Democratic primary polls
Francesca Hong jumps to 38%8%
State Representative Francesca Hong surged in polls, leading the Democratic primary with strong progressive support, challenging establishment candidates and shaping the race dynamics.
Jul 28 2026
Mandela Barnes drops out of Wisconsin governor race
Mandela Barnes drops to 1%12%
Barnes exited the race citing insurmountable polling deficits, which shifted support and market prices away from him, effectively ending his chances.
Jul 18 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Gov. Evers' endorsement
David Crowley jumps to 8%5%
Following Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary and received the endorsement of outgoing Governor Tony Evers, significantly boosting his campaign momentum.
Jul 17 2026
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor race amid campaign finance issues
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign due to financial discrepancies and management issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and leading to David Crowley reentering the race.
Jul 17 2026
Sara Rodriguez drops out of Wisconsin governor primary
Sara Rodriguez dips to 0%1%
Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign citing financial reporting issues, causing a major shakeup in the Democratic primary and opening the door for David Crowley to reenter the race.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 41%41%
Following Sara Rodriguez's withdrawal, David Crowley reentered the Democratic primary, gaining a significant boost with Governor Tony Evers' endorsement, which increased his market price substantially.
Jul 17 2026
David Crowley re-enters Wisconsin governor race with Governor Evers' endorsement
David Crowley surges to 24%24%
Crowley relaunched his campaign and received a key endorsement from Governor Tony Evers, leading to a significant rebound in his market price and renewed competitiveness in the primary.
Jul 13 2026
Sara Rodriguez fires campaign manager amid financial mismanagement
Sara Rodriguez drops to 1%7%
Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez fired her campaign manager after discovering significant financial discrepancies, triggering a crisis that undermined her campaign's viability.
Jul 8 2026
David Crowley suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
David Crowley suspended his gubernatorial campaign and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, signaling a consolidation of establishment support and affecting market perceptions of the race.
Jul 8 2026
Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley withdraws from governor's race
David Crowley drops to 1%9%
David Crowley suspended his campaign, causing his market price to drop sharply as his chances of winning diminished temporarily.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes drops to 0%5%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes dropped out of the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating establishment support behind Rodriguez and impacting the dynamics of the race.
Jun 22 2026
Democrat Missy Hughes drops out of Wisconsin governor race, endorses Sara Rodriguez
Sara Rodriguez plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes withdrew from the Democratic primary and endorsed Sara Rodriguez, consolidating some support behind Rodriguez and impacting her market price.
Jun 22 2026
Missy Hughes suspends campaign and endorses Sara Rodriguez
Missy Hughes plunges to 0%50%
Missy Hughes suspended her campaign and endorsed Lt. Governor Sara Rodriguez, consolidating moderate support behind Rodriguez and impacting the market prices by reducing Hughes' chances to zero.
"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "David Crowley" con 100%, seguido de "Missy Hughes" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $3.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "David Crowley" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Missy Hughes" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $3.4 million operados en “Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 100¢ para "David Crowley" en el mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 100% de que "David Crowley" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 100¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 0¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha sido resuelto. El resultado final ha sido determinado y el mercado ya no está abierto para operar. Aún puedes revisar las probabilidades históricas, probabilidades de resultados y comentarios en esta página.
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" tiene una comunidad activa de 50 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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