Analilia Mejia secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey's 11th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election to succeed Mikie Sherrill, who vacated the seat upon election as governor. The district's partisan composition and Mejia's 60% special-election margin have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold, reinforced by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter patterns in a district with a Democratic lean limit Republican prospects for Joe Hathaway. A late national shift in the midterm environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited scope for such reversals before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
$39,548 Vol.
$39,548 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$39,548 Vol.
$39,548 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$23,573 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$15,975 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey's 11th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election to succeed Mikie Sherrill, who vacated the seat upon election as governor. The district's partisan composition and Mejia's 60% special-election margin have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold, reinforced by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter patterns in a district with a Democratic lean limit Republican prospects for Joe Hathaway. A late national shift in the midterm environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited scope for such reversals before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$39,548Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey's 11th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election to succeed Mikie Sherrill, who vacated the seat upon election as governor. The district's partisan composition and Mejia's 60% special-election margin have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold, reinforced by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter patterns in a district with a Democratic lean limit Republican prospects for Joe Hathaway. A late national shift in the midterm environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited scope for such reversals before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$39,548Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey's 11th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election to succeed Mikie Sherrill, who vacated the seat upon election as governor. The district's partisan composition and Mejia's 60% special-election margin have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic hold, reinforced by multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter patterns in a district with a Democratic lean limit Republican prospects for Joe Hathaway. A late national shift in the midterm environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited scope for such reversals before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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