The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Demócrata
9%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,832 Vol.
90%
Partido Demócrata
$4,950 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$14,782Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,782Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors the 90% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker won renomination in the May primary and holds significant fundraising and name-recognition advantages over Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion ahead of the November 3 general election. Historical election margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or late developments sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Structural factors such as incumbency and low challenger viability continue to shape market positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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