Incumbent Rep. Lloyd Smucker (R) drives trader consensus at 88% for a Republican victory in Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, buoyed by his 2024 win margin of 26 points and unopposed May 19 primary path. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces steep barriers, including a fundraising gap—Smucker's $1 million cash on hand dwarfs her $15,000—amid limited polling and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Smucker's late-April re-election announcement solidified positioning, with no major shifts in the past 30 days; the November 3 general remains low-risk for Republicans barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,008 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$808 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lloyd Smucker (R) drives trader consensus at 88% for a Republican victory in Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, buoyed by his 2024 win margin of 26 points and unopposed May 19 primary path. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces steep barriers, including a fundraising gap—Smucker's $1 million cash on hand dwarfs her $15,000—amid limited polling and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Smucker's late-April re-election announcement solidified positioning, with no major shifts in the past 30 days; the November 3 general remains low-risk for Republicans barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$2,815Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lloyd Smucker (R) drives trader consensus at 88% for a Republican victory in Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, buoyed by his 2024 win margin of 26 points and unopposed May 19 primary path. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces steep barriers, including a fundraising gap—Smucker's $1 million cash on hand dwarfs her $15,000—amid limited polling and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Smucker's late-April re-election announcement solidified positioning, with no major shifts in the past 30 days; the November 3 general remains low-risk for Republicans barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,815Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lloyd Smucker (R) drives trader consensus at 88% for a Republican victory in Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, buoyed by his 2024 win margin of 26 points and unopposed May 19 primary path. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces steep barriers, including a fundraising gap—Smucker's $1 million cash on hand dwarfs her $15,000—amid limited polling and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats. Smucker's late-April re-election announcement solidified positioning, with no major shifts in the past 30 days; the November 3 general remains low-risk for Republicans barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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