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icon for Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?
Política·Suecia

Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?

icon for Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?
Política·Suecia

Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?

V

61% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

V

61% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest but consistent edge over Kristdemokraterna in voting intentions, typically placing V in the 7–9% range and KD between 4–7%. This differential underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. V benefits from its alignment within the broader red-green opposition bloc, while KD participates in the governing Tidö arrangement alongside Moderaterna and Liberals, with external support from Sverigedemokraterna, amid broader right-bloc softness in surveys. Multiple firms, including Novus, Indikator, and SCB data from May through July, have reinforced V’s relative strength, with limited recent events or leadership shifts altering the ordering in the final campaign weeks. Turnout patterns and bloc mobilization could still narrow or reverse the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,190
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show Vänsterpartiet maintaining a modest but consistent edge over Kristdemokraterna in voting intentions, typically placing V in the 7–9% range and KD between 4–7%. This differential underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. V benefits from its alignment within the broader red-green opposition bloc, while KD participates in the governing Tidö arrangement alongside Moderaterna and Liberals, with external support from Sverigedemokraterna, amid broader right-bloc softness in surveys. Multiple firms, including Novus, Indikator, and SCB data from May through July, have reinforced V’s relative strength, with limited recent events or leadership shifts altering the ordering in the final campaign weeks. Turnout patterns and bloc mobilization could still narrow or reverse the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,190
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Elección parlamentaria de Suecia: ¿Más votos para V o KD?" con 61%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 13, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?" es "Elección parlamentaria de Suecia: ¿Más votos para V o KD?" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿más votos para V o KD?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.