**Recent August 2026 polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) vote share in the 6–8% range, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% and 7–9% brackets.** SCB’s May survey showed 6.3%, while Verian’s early-to-mid August poll (fielded 3–16 August) recorded 7.7–8.0%. Aggregators such as PolitPro and Demoskop report trends around 6.5–6.8%, consistent with the party’s post-2022 performance and above the 4% parliamentary threshold. The red-green opposition bloc’s overall lead in these surveys has supported modest MP stability, as voters weigh environmental priorities and coalition positioning ahead of the 13 September election. No major recent shifts, scandals, or policy shocks have altered this narrow band in the latest data. Trader consensus therefore concentrates probabilities on outcomes near current polling averages rather than extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado5-7% 43%
7-9% 33%
9%+ 13.5%
<5% 9.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
<5%
10%
5-7%
43%
7-9%
33%
9%+
14%
5-7% 43%
7-9% 33%
9%+ 13.5%
<5% 9.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
<5%
$72 Vol.
10%
5-7%
$866 Vol.
43%
7-9%
$682 Vol.
33%
9%+
$59 Vol.
14%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent August 2026 polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) vote share in the 6–8% range, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% and 7–9% brackets.** SCB’s May survey showed 6.3%, while Verian’s early-to-mid August poll (fielded 3–16 August) recorded 7.7–8.0%. Aggregators such as PolitPro and Demoskop report trends around 6.5–6.8%, consistent with the party’s post-2022 performance and above the 4% parliamentary threshold.
The red-green opposition bloc’s overall lead in these surveys has supported modest MP stability, as voters weigh environmental priorities and coalition positioning ahead of the 13 September election. No major recent shifts, scandals, or policy shocks have altered this narrow band in the latest data. Trader consensus therefore concentrates probabilities on outcomes near current polling averages rather than extremes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volumen
$1,679Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent August 2026 polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) vote share in the 6–8% range, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% and 7–9% brackets.** SCB’s May survey showed 6.3%, while Verian’s early-to-mid August poll (fielded 3–16 August) recorded 7.7–8.0%. Aggregators such as PolitPro and Demoskop report trends around 6.5–6.8%, consistent with the party’s post-2022 performance and above the 4% parliamentary threshold.
The red-green opposition bloc’s overall lead in these surveys has supported modest MP stability, as voters weigh environmental priorities and coalition positioning ahead of the 13 September election. No major recent shifts, scandals, or policy shocks have altered this narrow band in the latest data. Trader consensus therefore concentrates probabilities on outcomes near current polling averages rather than extremes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$1,679Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent August 2026 polls place Miljöpartiet (MP) vote share in the 6–8% range, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% and 7–9% brackets.** SCB’s May survey showed 6.3%, while Verian’s early-to-mid August poll (fielded 3–16 August) recorded 7.7–8.0%. Aggregators such as PolitPro and Demoskop report trends around 6.5–6.8%, consistent with the party’s post-2022 performance and above the 4% parliamentary threshold. The red-green opposition bloc’s overall lead in these surveys has supported modest MP stability, as voters weigh environmental priorities and coalition positioning ahead of the 13 September election. No major recent shifts, scandals, or policy shocks have altered this narrow band in the latest data. Trader consensus therefore concentrates probabilities on outcomes near current polling averages rather than extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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