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icon for Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma

Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma

icon for Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma

Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma

Mazzei <5% 100.0%

Drummond 25%+ <1%

Drummond 20–25% <1%

Drummond 15–20% <1%

Polymarket

$2,386 Vol.

Mazzei <5% 100.0%

Drummond 25%+ <1%

Drummond 20–25% <1%

Drummond 15–20% <1%

Polymarket

$2,386 Vol.

icon for Drummond 25%+

Drummond 25%+

$78 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 20–25%

Drummond 20–25%

$139 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 15–20%

Drummond 15–20%

$139 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 10–15%

Drummond 10–15%

$322 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 5–10%

Drummond 5–10%

$89 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond <5%

Drummond <5%

$321 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei <5%

Mazzei <5%

$816 Vol.

icon for Mazzei 5–10%

Mazzei 5–10%

$80 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 10–15%

Mazzei 10–15%

$43 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 15–20%

Mazzei 15–20%

$123 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 20–25%

Mazzei 20–25%

$114 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 25%+

Mazzei 25%+

$119 Vol.

No

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor in the August 25 runoff by defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond with 50.3% of the vote to 49.7%, a margin under 5 percentage points confirmed across nearly all precincts. Trader consensus on a narrow Mazzei victory reflects Trump's May endorsement of the former state senator, his $11.6 million in personal loans, and heavy outside spending from groups like Club for Growth targeting Drummond. Drummond's edge in the June primary was erased by the runoff dynamics, including endorsements for Mazzei from term-limited Governor Kevin Stitt and Senator Markwayne Mullin, plus voter consolidation from eliminated candidates. The result aligns with the state's solidly Republican lean and historical patterns in low-turnout runoffs. Late vote certification or recounts in close counties could still shift the exact margin, though current tallies show no realistic path to reversal.

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$2,386
Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor in the August 25 runoff by defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond with 50.3% of the vote to 49.7%, a margin under 5 percentage points confirmed across nearly all precincts. Trader consensus on a narrow Mazzei victory reflects Trump's May endorsement of the former state senator, his $11.6 million in personal loans, and heavy outside spending from groups like Club for Growth targeting Drummond. Drummond's edge in the June primary was erased by the runoff dynamics, including endorsements for Mazzei from term-limited Governor Kevin Stitt and Senator Markwayne Mullin, plus voter consolidation from eliminated candidates. The result aligns with the state's solidly Republican lean and historical patterns in low-turnout runoffs. Late vote certification or recounts in close counties could still shift the exact margin, though current tallies show no realistic path to reversal.

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$2,386
Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mazzei <5%" con 100%, seguido de "Drummond 25%+" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma" es "Mazzei <5%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Drummond 25%+" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Margen de victoria de la segunda vuelta de las primarias del gobernador republicano de Oklahoma" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.