Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska
Tom Begich 36%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.2%
Treg Taylor 10.0%
$969,004 Vol.
$969,004 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Begich
$113,876 Vol.
36%
Bernadette Wilson
$151,078 Vol.
25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$7,098 Vol.
10%
Treg Taylor
$19,641 Vol.
10%
Click Bishop
$9,183 Vol.
7%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$117,031 Vol.
6%
David Bronson
$10,638 Vol.
6%
Matt Claman
$5,573 Vol.
<1%
James Parkin
$104,088 Vol.
<1%
Edna DeVries
$8,271 Vol.
<1%
Mary Peltola
$324,511 Vol.
<1%
Adam Crum
$38,569 Vol.
<1%
Shelley Hughes
$8,072 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
$13,874 Vol.
<1%
Hank Kroll
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
Matt Heilala
$29,431 Vol.
<1%
Bruce Walden
$4,756 Vol.
<1%
Tom Begich 36%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.2%
Treg Taylor 10.0%
$969,004 Vol.
$969,004 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Begich
$113,876 Vol.
36%
Bernadette Wilson
$151,078 Vol.
25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$7,098 Vol.
10%
Treg Taylor
$19,641 Vol.
10%
Click Bishop
$9,183 Vol.
7%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$117,031 Vol.
6%
David Bronson
$10,638 Vol.
6%
Matt Claman
$5,573 Vol.
<1%
James Parkin
$104,088 Vol.
<1%
Edna DeVries
$8,271 Vol.
<1%
Mary Peltola
$324,511 Vol.
<1%
Adam Crum
$38,569 Vol.
<1%
Shelley Hughes
$8,072 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
$13,874 Vol.
<1%
Hank Kroll
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
Matt Heilala
$29,431 Vol.
<1%
Bruce Walden
$4,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from mid-April positions Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in the nonpartisan top-four primary for the open governor race, with 19% support amid a fragmented Republican field including Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, and Sen. Click Bishop, while advancing to win a ranked-choice voting final-round matchup against Republican Bernadette Wilson 54%-46%. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, heightening competition in the August 18 primary; Wilson's pledge to exit if not the top GOP vote-getter adds uncertainty to vote consolidation. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with Begich at 36% implied probability and Wilson at 25%, though crowded fields and crossover voting patterns could shift outcomes before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from mid-April positions Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in the nonpartisan top-four primary for the open governor race, with 19% support amid a fragmented Republican field including Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, and Sen. Click Bishop, while advancing to win a ranked-choice voting final-round matchup against Republican Bernadette Wilson 54%-46%. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, heightening competition in the August 18 primary; Wilson's pledge to exit if not the top GOP vote-getter adds uncertainty to vote consolidation. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with Begich at 36% implied probability and Wilson at 25%, though crowded fields and crossover voting patterns could shift outcomes before November's general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 7 2026
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom publicly emphasizes campaign priorities including public safety, resource development, and job creation in gubernatorial race
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 6%3%
Despite campaign messaging on key issues, market confidence in Dahlstrom’s winning chances declined to a low point, reflecting competitive dynamics.
May 4 2026
Rival Republican candidate Shelley Hughes announces running mate Blake Gettys, intensifying competition in the GOP field
While not directly about Bishop, this event increased competition, likely limiting Bishop's market gains.
Apr 30 2026
Alaska Republican Party District 6 endorses Dave Bronson among others for governor, citing alignment with party principles
David Bronson rises to 6%3%
The endorsement provided a modest boost by signaling party support in a key district late in the campaign.
Apr 23 2026
Pro-Bishop independent expenditure group "Pick Click and Greta for Alaska" forms with six-figure labor union backing, boosting campaign resources
Click Bishop rises to 10%4%
The organized labor support and funding injection improved Bishop's campaign viability, reflected in a
Apr 10 2026
Media coverage of Bishop-Schuerch ticket emphasizes cooperative spirit and focus on energy and budget challenges
Click Bishop plunges to 6%16%
Following initial enthusiasm, market corrected as voters assessed the crowded field and other candidates' moves.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop announces Greta Schuerch as his lieutenant governor running mate, highlighting energy and budget priorities
Click Bishop surges to 22%16%
The announcement of Schuerch, an Alaska Native leader and corporate board member, energized Bishop's campaign by broadening appeal and signaling a strategic partnership, causing a significant
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as
David Bronson jumps to 14%12%
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as investors speculated on a high‑profile platform.
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes aggressively doubling Alaska Permanent Fund earnings to pay higher dividends and avoid new taxes, sparking debate over investment risks
David Bronson rises to 7%4%
This policy stance generated short-term market interest due to its boldness but also raised concerns about fiscal prudence.
Mar 27 2026
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 22%8%
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief rebound
Mar 25 2026
Begich holds community meet and greet in Petersburg, highlighting coalition-building and dialogue-driven governance
Tom Begich rises to 28%3%
This event reinforced Begich’s image as a unifier and pragmatic leader, contributing to a.
Mar 18 2026
Polling from Dittman Research shows Tom Begich leading with fragmented Republican support;
Treg Taylor drops to 9%8%
Treg Taylor polling at about 5%, reflecting weak voter support despite fundraising
Mar 17 2026
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 25USCV, advancing the U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 14%1%
Renewed certification of the citizenship voting initiative kept Dahlstrom in the election law spotlight, slightly improving market sentiment.
Feb 11 2026
Lt. Governor certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG after signature verification, confirming its ballot placement
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 21%3%
Confirmation of the initiative’s ballot status reinforced Dahlstrom’s influence on election reform, causing a modest
Jan 15 2026
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a
David Bronson jumps to 9%7%
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a modest
Jan 14 2026
Dave Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership in governance
David Bronson jumps to 8%5%
The selection of Church, a financial planner with Interior Alaska ties, aimed to broaden Bronson’s appeal and address regional concerns, causing a temporary
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop participates in Alaska Young Republicans State Convention, engaging with voters and highlighting political experience
Bishop's presence at the convention helped maintain his visibility among Republican voters, though the crowded field limited significant
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 25%3%
This high-profile election reform initiative certification signaled Dahlstrom’s alignment with conservative election changes, briefly lifting market optimism.
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, underscoring election oversight responsibilities
This administrative action maintained her profile in election administration without significant market impact.
Dec 11 2025
Tom Begich responds critically to Governor Dunleavy’s early release of FY2027 budget, calling for responsible fiscal planning
Tom Begich rises to 24%4%
Begich's public critique of the budget highlighted his fiscal responsibility stance and differentiated him from the incumbent, improving his market perception.
Dec 10 2025
Tom Begich visits Bethel on campaign trail, focusing on rural Alaska, climate change, and education issues
Tom Begich rises to 23%3%
Begich's outreach to rural communities and emphasis on climate adaptation and education resonated with key constituencies, contributing to a modest.
Nov 14 2025
Tom Begich publicly states he would defer to Mary Peltola if she enters the governor's race, signaling party unity
Tom Begich jumps to 17%7%
This statement reassured Democratic voters about avoiding a divisive primary, boosting Begich's support as he positioned himself as a loyal party player.
Nov 8 2025
Fundraising reports show Treg Taylor raised $880,000, ranking as the No.
2 fundraiser in the race, indicating strong financial backing but limited grassroots support
Nov 8 2025
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates
David Bronson plunges to 2%28%
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates caused the market to dump his odds sharply.
Oct 13 2025
Former Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout, introducing himself as a new Republican contender in the crowded race
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
This event marked the initial surge in market interest for Bronson, as he entered the race and gained early attention.
Oct 7 2025
Media coverage highlights Dahlstrom’s certification of U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative, emphasizing her election law focus
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 22%7%
Public scrutiny and debate over the initiative’s implications may have tempered enthusiasm, contributing to a
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies ballot initiative 25USCV requiring only U.S. citizens to vote in Alaska elections
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 29%8%
Certification of this voting eligibility initiative demonstrated Dahlstrom’s active role in election law issues, briefly boosting market confidence.
Oct 2 2025
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race
David Bronson plunges to 30%20%
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race introduced a new Republican contender, prompting an initial surge in his “Yes”
Aug 18 2025
Former state senator Tom Begich announces run for Alaska governor, emphasizing education funding and raising state revenues through corporate tax reforms
Tom Begich plunges to 10%40%
Begich's announcement as the first Democrat in a crowded field introduced his platform but faced initial skepticism reflected in a sharp.
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
This formal step marked Dahlstrom’s transition from lieutenant governor to gubernatorial candidate, initiating market reassessment of her chances.
May 5 2025
Click Bishop files letter of intent to run for governor, officially entering the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race
Bishop's formal entry into the race marked the start of his campaign, initially maintaining market interest at around 50% before subsequent declines as the field expanded.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from mid-April positions Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in the nonpartisan top-four primary for the open governor race, with 19% support amid a fragmented Republican field including Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, and Sen. Click Bishop, while advancing to win a ranked-choice voting final-round matchup against Republican Bernadette Wilson 54%-46%. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, heightening competition in the August 18 primary; Wilson's pledge to exit if not the top GOP vote-getter adds uncertainty to vote consolidation. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with Begich at 36% implied probability and Wilson at 25%, though crowded fields and crossover voting patterns could shift outcomes before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from mid-April positions Democrat Tom Begich as the frontrunner in the nonpartisan top-four primary for the open governor race, with 19% support amid a fragmented Republican field including Anchorage Mayor David Bronson, Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, and Sen. Click Bishop, while advancing to win a ranked-choice voting final-round matchup against Republican Bernadette Wilson 54%-46%. Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, heightening competition in the August 18 primary; Wilson's pledge to exit if not the top GOP vote-getter adds uncertainty to vote consolidation. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with Begich at 36% implied probability and Wilson at 25%, though crowded fields and crossover voting patterns could shift outcomes before November's general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
May 7 2026
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom publicly emphasizes campaign priorities including public safety, resource development, and job creation in gubernatorial race
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 6%3%
Despite campaign messaging on key issues, market confidence in Dahlstrom’s winning chances declined to a low point, reflecting competitive dynamics.
May 4 2026
Rival Republican candidate Shelley Hughes announces running mate Blake Gettys, intensifying competition in the GOP field
While not directly about Bishop, this event increased competition, likely limiting Bishop's market gains.
Apr 30 2026
Alaska Republican Party District 6 endorses Dave Bronson among others for governor, citing alignment with party principles
David Bronson rises to 6%3%
The endorsement provided a modest boost by signaling party support in a key district late in the campaign.
Apr 23 2026
Pro-Bishop independent expenditure group "Pick Click and Greta for Alaska" forms with six-figure labor union backing, boosting campaign resources
Click Bishop rises to 10%4%
The organized labor support and funding injection improved Bishop's campaign viability, reflected in a
Apr 10 2026
Media coverage of Bishop-Schuerch ticket emphasizes cooperative spirit and focus on energy and budget challenges
Click Bishop plunges to 6%16%
Following initial enthusiasm, market corrected as voters assessed the crowded field and other candidates' moves.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop announces Greta Schuerch as his lieutenant governor running mate, highlighting energy and budget priorities
Click Bishop surges to 22%16%
The announcement of Schuerch, an Alaska Native leader and corporate board member, energized Bishop's campaign by broadening appeal and signaling a strategic partnership, causing a significant
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as
David Bronson jumps to 14%12%
Bronson proposes to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings – A policy‑focused op‑ed outlining an aggressive investment target for the Permanent Fund generated a short‑term rally as investors speculated on a high‑profile platform.
Apr 6 2026
Bronson proposes aggressively doubling Alaska Permanent Fund earnings to pay higher dividends and avoid new taxes, sparking debate over investment risks
David Bronson rises to 7%4%
This policy stance generated short-term market interest due to its boldness but also raised concerns about fiscal prudence.
Mar 27 2026
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 22%8%
Local news notes a March 2025 fire that nearly destroyed Wilson’s waste‑management business, reminding voters of her “overcoming adversity” narrative and contributing to a brief rebound
Mar 25 2026
Begich holds community meet and greet in Petersburg, highlighting coalition-building and dialogue-driven governance
Tom Begich rises to 28%3%
This event reinforced Begich’s image as a unifier and pragmatic leader, contributing to a.
Mar 18 2026
Polling from Dittman Research shows Tom Begich leading with fragmented Republican support;
Treg Taylor drops to 9%8%
Treg Taylor polling at about 5%, reflecting weak voter support despite fundraising
Mar 17 2026
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 25USCV, advancing the U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 14%1%
Renewed certification of the citizenship voting initiative kept Dahlstrom in the election law spotlight, slightly improving market sentiment.
Feb 11 2026
Lt. Governor certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG after signature verification, confirming its ballot placement
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 21%3%
Confirmation of the initiative’s ballot status reinforced Dahlstrom’s influence on election reform, causing a modest
Jan 15 2026
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a
David Bronson jumps to 9%7%
Bronson selects Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as running mate – The announcement of a lieutenant‑governor pick from the Interior gave Bronson geographic balance and a modest
Jan 14 2026
Dave Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership in governance
David Bronson jumps to 8%5%
The selection of Church, a financial planner with Interior Alaska ties, aimed to broaden Bronson’s appeal and address regional concerns, causing a temporary
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop participates in Alaska Young Republicans State Convention, engaging with voters and highlighting political experience
Bishop's presence at the convention helped maintain his visibility among Republican voters, though the crowded field limited significant
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of ballot initiative petition 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 25%3%
This high-profile election reform initiative certification signaled Dahlstrom’s alignment with conservative election changes, briefly lifting market optimism.
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, underscoring election oversight responsibilities
This administrative action maintained her profile in election administration without significant market impact.
Dec 11 2025
Tom Begich responds critically to Governor Dunleavy’s early release of FY2027 budget, calling for responsible fiscal planning
Tom Begich rises to 24%4%
Begich's public critique of the budget highlighted his fiscal responsibility stance and differentiated him from the incumbent, improving his market perception.
Dec 10 2025
Tom Begich visits Bethel on campaign trail, focusing on rural Alaska, climate change, and education issues
Tom Begich rises to 23%3%
Begich's outreach to rural communities and emphasis on climate adaptation and education resonated with key constituencies, contributing to a modest.
Nov 14 2025
Tom Begich publicly states he would defer to Mary Peltola if she enters the governor's race, signaling party unity
Tom Begich jumps to 17%7%
This statement reassured Democratic voters about avoiding a divisive primary, boosting Begich's support as he positioned himself as a loyal party player.
Nov 8 2025
Fundraising reports show Treg Taylor raised $880,000, ranking as the No.
2 fundraiser in the race, indicating strong financial backing but limited grassroots support
Nov 8 2025
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates
David Bronson plunges to 2%28%
Report highlights crowded GOP field and weak fundraising for Bronson – An Anchorage Daily News story noting that Bronson lagged in fundraising amid a dozen Republican candidates caused the market to dump his odds sharply.
Oct 13 2025
Former Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout, introducing himself as a new Republican contender in the crowded race
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
This event marked the initial surge in market interest for Bronson, as he entered the race and gained early attention.
Oct 7 2025
Media coverage highlights Dahlstrom’s certification of U.S. citizen voting requirement initiative, emphasizing her election law focus
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 22%7%
Public scrutiny and debate over the initiative’s implications may have tempered enthusiasm, contributing to a
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies ballot initiative 25USCV requiring only U.S. citizens to vote in Alaska elections
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 29%8%
Certification of this voting eligibility initiative demonstrated Dahlstrom’s active role in election law issues, briefly boosting market confidence.
Oct 2 2025
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race
David Bronson plunges to 30%20%
Bronson officially launches gubernatorial campaign with statewide rollout – The announcement that former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson was entering the 2026 governor’s race introduced a new Republican contender, prompting an initial surge in his “Yes”
Aug 18 2025
Former state senator Tom Begich announces run for Alaska governor, emphasizing education funding and raising state revenues through corporate tax reforms
Tom Begich plunges to 10%40%
Begich's announcement as the first Democrat in a crowded field introduced his platform but faced initial skepticism reflected in a sharp.
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
This formal step marked Dahlstrom’s transition from lieutenant governor to gubernatorial candidate, initiating market reassessment of her chances.
May 5 2025
Click Bishop files letter of intent to run for governor, officially entering the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race
Bishop's formal entry into the race marked the start of his campaign, initially maintaining market interest at around 50% before subsequent declines as the field expanded.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Begich" con 36%, seguido de "Bernadette Wilson" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " ha generado $969K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es "Tom Begich" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernadette Wilson" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $969K operados en “Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 36¢ para "Tom Begich" en el mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 36% de que "Tom Begich" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 36¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 64¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Nov 3, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " fue creado recientemente. Sé uno de los primeros en compartir tu análisis publicando un comentario abajo, o vuelve más adelante. También puedes ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones recientes.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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