Democrat Jeremy Moss secured a decisive victory in Michigan’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with final tallies showing roughly 60.9 percent of the vote against Republican Ethan Baker’s 36.8 percent for a margin near 24 points. The district’s longstanding Democratic lean, reinforced by strong suburban performance in Oakland County and historical presidential margins of 16–20 points, positioned the 20–25 percent bucket as the clear trader favorite at 89 percent. Moss benefited from an open seat after former Representative Haley Stevens pursued a Senate bid, plus a comfortable primary win that allowed unified party resources. Forecasters rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic well in advance, and live results with 99 percent of precincts reported have aligned closely with that consensus, leaving little room for late shifts that could move the outcome into adjacent margin ranges.