Florida's 23rd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in a seat redrawn with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The August 18 Democratic primary features Frankel as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district's electoral math, including historical margins and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout, a major late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or a national political environment that substantially exceeds historical benchmarks for midterm shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-23
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-23
$15,162 Vol.
$15,162 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
$15,162 Vol.
$15,162 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$10,500 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$4,662 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in a seat redrawn with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The August 18 Democratic primary features Frankel as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district's electoral math, including historical margins and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout, a major late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or a national political environment that substantially exceeds historical benchmarks for midterm shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volumen
$15,162Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in a seat redrawn with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The August 18 Democratic primary features Frankel as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district's electoral math, including historical margins and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout, a major late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or a national political environment that substantially exceeds historical benchmarks for midterm shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,162Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in a seat redrawn with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The August 18 Democratic primary features Frankel as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects the district's electoral math, including historical margins and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in voter turnout, a major late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee, or a national political environment that substantially exceeds historical benchmarks for midterm shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes