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icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas

Lula 97.5%

Flavio Bolsonaro 3.9%

Zema <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Polymarket

$14,225 Vol.

Lula 97.5%

Flavio Bolsonaro 3.9%

Zema <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Polymarket

$14,225 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$7,306 Vol.

98%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$608 Vol.

7%

icon for Zema

Zema

$527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$602 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$598 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$602 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$598 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$486 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$491 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$14,225
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$14,225
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lula" con 98%, seguido de "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas" ha generado $14.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas" es "Lula" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Alagoas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.