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Política·Primaria De Luisiana

LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primaria De Luisiana

LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Blake Miguez 65%

Michael Echols 19.5%

Rick Edmonds 4.3%

Misti Cordell 1.6%

Polymarket

$36,389 Vol.

Blake Miguez 65%

Michael Echols 19.5%

Rick Edmonds 4.3%

Misti Cordell 1.6%

Polymarket

$36,389 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$16,947 Vol.

65%

Michael Echols

$9,934 Vol.

20%

Rick Edmonds

$707 Vol.

4%

Misti Cordell

$899 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$1,172 Vol.

2%

Michael Mebruer

$891 Vol.

1%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,839 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win the LA-05 Republican primary nomination, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $6 million raised and $4 million cash on hand as of late March—paired with former President Trump's February endorsement and Club for Growth backing. State Rep. Michael Echols trails at 19.4% following a competitive April Bedrock poll (Miguez 23%, Echols 20%, 42% undecided), positioning it as a two-man race among state legislators. The May 16 semi-closed primary was suspended April 30 after a Supreme Court ruling deemed Louisiana's House map an unconstitutional gerrymander, injecting uncertainty over new timelines and district lines in this open R+18 seat once held by Julia Letlow, now Senate-bound. Lower-tier candidates lag due to minimal resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,389
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win the LA-05 Republican primary nomination, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $6 million raised and $4 million cash on hand as of late March—paired with former President Trump's February endorsement and Club for Growth backing. State Rep. Michael Echols trails at 19.4% following a competitive April Bedrock poll (Miguez 23%, Echols 20%, 42% undecided), positioning it as a two-man race among state legislators. The May 16 semi-closed primary was suspended April 30 after a Supreme Court ruling deemed Louisiana's House map an unconstitutional gerrymander, injecting uncertainty over new timelines and district lines in this open R+18 seat once held by Julia Letlow, now Senate-bound. Lower-tier candidates lag due to minimal resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,389
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Blake Miguez" con 65%, seguido de "Michael Echols" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $36.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Blake Miguez" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Michael Echols" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "LA-05 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.