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Politics·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 7%

Michael Echols 5.8%

Misti Cordell 2.9%

Michael Mebruer 2.3%

Polymarket

$45,956 Vol.

Blake Miguez 7%

Michael Echols 5.8%

Misti Cordell 2.9%

Michael Mebruer 2.3%

Polymarket

$45,956 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$23,179 Vol.

7%

Michael Echols

$11,009 Vol.

6%

Misti Cordell

$1,483 Vol.

3%

Michael Mebruer

$1,323 Vol.

2%

Samuel Wyatt

$6,084 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$1,593 Vol.

1%

Rick Edmonds

$1,284 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Magee leads trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary at 44% implied probability, ahead of state Sen. Blake Miguez (15%) and state Rep. Michael Echols (12.5%), reflecting his profile as a Franklinton industrial construction firm owner in a crowded field for the open seat vacated by Julia Letlow’s Senate bid. Recent April debates highlighted differences on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure, while polling from that period showed Miguez and Echols competitive early on. Echols’s pledge to self-fund up to $1 million and Miguez’s Trump endorsement have shaped positioning, yet the primary’s postponement beyond the original May 16 date has sustained uncertainty among the seven candidates. Traders appear to weigh Magee’s business background and local ties most heavily amid the delayed timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$45,956
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Magee leads trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary at 44% implied probability, ahead of state Sen. Blake Miguez (15%) and state Rep. Michael Echols (12.5%), reflecting his profile as a Franklinton industrial construction firm owner in a crowded field for the open seat vacated by Julia Letlow’s Senate bid. Recent April debates highlighted differences on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure, while polling from that period showed Miguez and Echols competitive early on. Echols’s pledge to self-fund up to $1 million and Miguez’s Trump endorsement have shaped positioning, yet the primary’s postponement beyond the original May 16 date has sustained uncertainty among the seven candidates. Traders appear to weigh Magee’s business background and local ties most heavily amid the delayed timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$45,956
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Blake Miguez" con 7%, seguido de "Michael Echols" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 7¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" ha generado $46K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" es "Blake Miguez" con solo 7%, con "Michael Echols" muy cerca con 6%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.