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Política·Premios

Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026

icon for Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026
Política·Premios

Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026

Título del ítem del grupo: Donald Trump 11%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.9%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$17,464,486 Vol.

Título del ítem del grupo: Donald Trump 11%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.9%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$17,464,486 Vol.

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Donald Trump

Título del ítem del grupo: Donald Trump

$3,340,435 Vol.

11%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$155,258 Vol.

8%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$465,739 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,501 Vol.

5%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$610,486 Vol.

4%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Papa León XIV

Título del ítem del grupo: Papa León XIV

$698,230 Vol.

3%

icon for Corte Internacional de Justicia

Corte Internacional de Justicia

$759,360 Vol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$543,972 Vol.

2%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,134,128 Vol.

1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Greta Thunberg

Título del ítem del grupo: Greta Thunberg

$1,185,909 Vol.

1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Charlie Kirk

Título del ítem del grupo: Charlie Kirk

$893,499 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$698,830 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$933,392 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$409,185 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$443,597 Vol.

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$809,331 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$491,393 Vol.

1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$731,550 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$720,476 Vol.

<1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Benjamin Netanyahu

Título del ítem del grupo: Benjamin Netanyahu

$494,355 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With no major diplomatic breakthroughs or confirmed frontrunners yet shaping the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize race, the market shows a wide-open field where Donald Trump’s 10.5% implied probability reflects trader focus on his high-profile international profile, followed closely by Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% and Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 5.9%. The tight spread across more than a dozen contenders signals uncertainty over future peace initiatives, with outcomes likely to hinge on October developments and any late-campaign momentum from global events rather than established historical patterns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$17,464,486
Fecha de finalización
10 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With no major diplomatic breakthroughs or confirmed frontrunners yet shaping the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize race, the market shows a wide-open field where Donald Trump’s 10.5% implied probability reflects trader focus on his high-profile international profile, followed closely by Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% and Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 5.9%. The tight spread across more than a dozen contenders signals uncertainty over future peace initiatives, with outcomes likely to hinge on October developments and any late-campaign momentum from global events rather than established historical patterns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$17,464,486
Fecha de finalización
10 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 20 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Título del ítem del grupo: Donald Trump" con 11%, seguido de "Yulia Navalnaya" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" ha generado $17.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026", explora los 20 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" es "Título del ítem del grupo: Donald Trump" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Yulia Navalnaya" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.