Recent inflation data and central bank signals have created balanced trader positioning on the Bank of Korea’s August policy rate decision. May CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—above the 3.0% consensus—driven by higher oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, prompting the BoK to lift its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7%. At the May 28 meeting, the board held the base rate at 2.50% in a 5-2 vote while raising the 2026 GDP outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven exports; the accompanying dot plot and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s remarks signaled a hawkish tilt. With the next decision set for July 16 and June CPI due July 1, markets price comparable probabilities for no change, a 25 basis point cut, or hike, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will outweigh growth momentum and prompt earlier tightening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en agosto?
¿Decisión del Banco de Corea en agosto?
25 bps cut 44%
25 bps hike 40%
50+ bps hike 17%
50+ bps cut 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
50+ bps cut
4%
25 bps cut
44%
No Change
47%
25 bps hike
40%
50+ bps hike
17%
25 bps cut 44%
25 bps hike 40%
50+ bps hike 17%
50+ bps cut 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
50+ bps cut
$1,164 Vol.
4%
25 bps cut
$17 Vol.
44%
No Change
$94 Vol.
47%
25 bps hike
$17 Vol.
40%
50+ bps hike
$16 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent inflation data and central bank signals have created balanced trader positioning on the Bank of Korea’s August policy rate decision. May CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—above the 3.0% consensus—driven by higher oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, prompting the BoK to lift its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7%. At the May 28 meeting, the board held the base rate at 2.50% in a 5-2 vote while raising the 2026 GDP outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven exports; the accompanying dot plot and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s remarks signaled a hawkish tilt. With the next decision set for July 16 and June CPI due July 1, markets price comparable probabilities for no change, a 25 basis point cut, or hike, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will outweigh growth momentum and prompt earlier tightening.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercado abierto: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Volumen
$1,309Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent inflation data and central bank signals have created balanced trader positioning on the Bank of Korea’s August policy rate decision. May CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—above the 3.0% consensus—driven by higher oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, prompting the BoK to lift its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7%. At the May 28 meeting, the board held the base rate at 2.50% in a 5-2 vote while raising the 2026 GDP outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven exports; the accompanying dot plot and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s remarks signaled a hawkish tilt. With the next decision set for July 16 and June CPI due July 1, markets price comparable probabilities for no change, a 25 basis point cut, or hike, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will outweigh growth momentum and prompt earlier tightening.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volumen
$1,309Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data and central bank signals have created balanced trader positioning on the Bank of Korea’s August policy rate decision. May CPI accelerated to 3.1% year-over-year—above the 3.0% consensus—driven by higher oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, prompting the BoK to lift its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7%. At the May 28 meeting, the board held the base rate at 2.50% in a 5-2 vote while raising the 2026 GDP outlook to 2.6% on semiconductor-driven exports; the accompanying dot plot and new Governor Shin Hyun-song’s remarks signaled a hawkish tilt. With the next decision set for July 16 and June CPI due July 1, markets price comparable probabilities for no change, a 25 basis point cut, or hike, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will outweigh growth momentum and prompt earlier tightening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes