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¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?

icon for ¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?

¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?

14% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

14% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The confirmed July 28 White House meeting between President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu follows multiple rounds of phone diplomacy and earlier scheduling attempts that faced delays amid ongoing regional tensions, including Iran-related developments. Recent precedents show the leaders exchanging handshakes or brief side embraces during formal arrivals and Oval Office sessions rather than full hugs, consistent with standard diplomatic protocol for such bilateral engagements. Trader consensus reflected in the 87% “no” probability aligns with the low likelihood of deviation from these established greeting patterns during a structured summit focused on policy coordination.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$793
Fecha de finalización
28 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The confirmed July 28 White House meeting between President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu follows multiple rounds of phone diplomacy and earlier scheduling attempts that faced delays amid ongoing regional tensions, including Iran-related developments. Recent precedents show the leaders exchanging handshakes or brief side embraces during formal arrivals and Oval Office sessions rather than full hugs, consistent with standard diplomatic protocol for such bilateral engagements. Trader consensus reflected in the 87% “no” probability aligns with the low likelihood of deviation from these established greeting patterns during a structured summit focused on policy coordination.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volumen
$793
Fecha de finalización
28 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Se abrazarán Trump y Netanyahu el martes?" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 14¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?" es "¿Se abrazarán Trump y Netanyahu el martes?" con 14%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump y Netanyahu se abrazarán el martes?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.