Ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include the breakdown of a June memorandum of understanding, renewed July strikes following Iranian threats to shipping, and pauses in attacks in early August amid mediation efforts and reported missile shortages. Congress retains exclusive constitutional authority to declare war, a step avoided in prior conflicts through authorizations for military force. Ongoing diplomatic talks, leadership statements on both sides, and institutional preferences for limited engagements continue to shape trader assessments of the low likelihood of an official declaration in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
$7,763,872 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
3%
$7,763,872 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$791,238 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include the breakdown of a June memorandum of understanding, renewed July strikes following Iranian threats to shipping, and pauses in attacks in early August amid mediation efforts and reported missile shortages. Congress retains exclusive constitutional authority to declare war, a step avoided in prior conflicts through authorizations for military force. Ongoing diplomatic talks, leadership statements on both sides, and institutional preferences for limited engagements continue to shape trader assessments of the low likelihood of an official declaration in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$7,763,872Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include the breakdown of a June memorandum of understanding, renewed July strikes following Iranian threats to shipping, and pauses in attacks in early August amid mediation efforts and reported missile shortages. Congress retains exclusive constitutional authority to declare war, a step avoided in prior conflicts through authorizations for military force. Ongoing diplomatic talks, leadership statements on both sides, and institutional preferences for limited engagements continue to shape trader assessments of the low likelihood of an official declaration in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,763,872Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US military operations against Iran since February 2026, including airstrikes and naval blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, have proceeded without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include the breakdown of a June memorandum of understanding, renewed July strikes following Iranian threats to shipping, and pauses in attacks in early August amid mediation efforts and reported missile shortages. Congress retains exclusive constitutional authority to declare war, a step avoided in prior conflicts through authorizations for military force. Ongoing diplomatic talks, leadership statements on both sides, and institutional preferences for limited engagements continue to shape trader assessments of the low likelihood of an official declaration in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes