US military operations against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, through joint US-Israel strikes under executive authority, bypassing any congressional war declaration and operating within the War Powers Resolution timeline that expired on May 1. Ongoing negotiations for a nuclear agreement and ceasefire have produced multiple Iranian proposals in recent weeks, including phased de-escalation steps on the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump has reviewed skeptically while describing the current pause in hostilities as fragile. Congress has shown little appetite for authorizing continued action or issuing a formal declaration, favoring instead potential authorizations for military force or allowing operations to conclude without one. Traders assess a low probability of an official US declaration of war by late 2026 due to active diplomatic efforts and the precedent of limited-scope engagements without legislative approval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Irán antes del...?
$7,523,423 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
7%
$7,523,423 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$550,788 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, through joint US-Israel strikes under executive authority, bypassing any congressional war declaration and operating within the War Powers Resolution timeline that expired on May 1. Ongoing negotiations for a nuclear agreement and ceasefire have produced multiple Iranian proposals in recent weeks, including phased de-escalation steps on the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump has reviewed skeptically while describing the current pause in hostilities as fragile. Congress has shown little appetite for authorizing continued action or issuing a formal declaration, favoring instead potential authorizations for military force or allowing operations to conclude without one. Traders assess a low probability of an official US declaration of war by late 2026 due to active diplomatic efforts and the precedent of limited-scope engagements without legislative approval.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volumen
$7,523,423Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military operations against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, through joint US-Israel strikes under executive authority, bypassing any congressional war declaration and operating within the War Powers Resolution timeline that expired on May 1. Ongoing negotiations for a nuclear agreement and ceasefire have produced multiple Iranian proposals in recent weeks, including phased de-escalation steps on the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump has reviewed skeptically while describing the current pause in hostilities as fragile. Congress has shown little appetite for authorizing continued action or issuing a formal declaration, favoring instead potential authorizations for military force or allowing operations to conclude without one. Traders assess a low probability of an official US declaration of war by late 2026 due to active diplomatic efforts and the precedent of limited-scope engagements without legislative approval.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,523,423Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, through joint US-Israel strikes under executive authority, bypassing any congressional war declaration and operating within the War Powers Resolution timeline that expired on May 1. Ongoing negotiations for a nuclear agreement and ceasefire have produced multiple Iranian proposals in recent weeks, including phased de-escalation steps on the Strait of Hormuz, which President Trump has reviewed skeptically while describing the current pause in hostilities as fragile. Congress has shown little appetite for authorizing continued action or issuing a formal declaration, favoring instead potential authorizations for military force or allowing operations to conclude without one. Traders assess a low probability of an official US declaration of war by late 2026 due to active diplomatic efforts and the precedent of limited-scope engagements without legislative approval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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