Recent diplomatic exchanges, including a September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin focused on Ukraine peace efforts, have reinforced trader expectations that any 2026 bilateral meeting would occur on neutral or multilateral ground rather than in the United States or Russia. Kremlin statements highlight the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as a likely venue where Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping could hold talks on the sidelines, driving the 55.5% consensus on China. With roughly four months remaining before year-end, the 35% probability assigned to no meeting reflects uncertainty over scheduling amid ongoing shuttle diplomacy by U.S. envoys and the lack of confirmed bilateral commitments. Lower odds for other locations stem from the absence of comparable upcoming high-level forums or official signals pointing elsewhere.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde se reunirán Trump y Putin en 2026?
China 55%
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 36%
Gulf country 2.7%
Russia 2.1%
$975,131 Vol.
$975,131 Vol.

China
55%

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
36%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

South Korea
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 55%
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 36%
Gulf country 2.7%
Russia 2.1%
$975,131 Vol.
$975,131 Vol.

China
55%

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
36%

Gulf country
3%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

South Korea
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic exchanges, including a September 8 phone call between Trump and Putin focused on Ukraine peace efforts, have reinforced trader expectations that any 2026 bilateral meeting would occur on neutral or multilateral ground rather than in the United States or Russia. Kremlin statements highlight the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as a likely venue where Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping could hold talks on the sidelines, driving the 55.5% consensus on China. With roughly four months remaining before year-end, the 35% probability assigned to no meeting reflects uncertainty over scheduling amid ongoing shuttle diplomacy by U.S. envoys and the lack of confirmed bilateral commitments. Lower odds for other locations stem from the absence of comparable upcoming high-level forums or official signals pointing elsewhere.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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