Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La isla Farsi ya no está bajo control iraní por...?
¿La isla Farsi ya no está bajo control iraní por...?
NUEVO
31 jul 2026
31 de julio
1%
31 de agosto
4%
$3,942 Vol.
31 de julio
$1,558 Vol.
1%
31 de agosto
$2,384 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Volumen
$3,942Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,942Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Farsi Island, a small Iranian-held outpost in the Persian Gulf, has seen no reported military operations, diplomatic initiatives, or territorial challenges in the past 30 days that would alter its status under Iranian administration. Broader regional tensions involving Iran, U.S. naval presence, and Strait of Hormuz transit controls continue to influence trader assessments of escalation risks, yet these dynamics have centered on larger strategic sites rather than Farsi itself. Historical precedent from past incidents near the island underscores Iranian enforcement of nearby waters, while the absence of fresh announcements, force movements, or multilateral negotiations leaves the outcome dependent on any unforeseen shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran relations within the market's resolution window. Trader consensus thus reflects limited catalysts for near-term change absent new verifiable developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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